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GIEWS Update West Africa - Sahel, 3 July 2018

Elevated risk of deterioration in food security in pastoral areas across Sahel and Lake Chad Basin











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    Despite an average maize harvest and an overall satisfactory supply outlook for 2018/19, the aggregate number of people affected by food insecurity has increased. Declining per capita maize production in the past ten years has heightened reliance on imports to satisfy consumption needs, increasing vulnerabilities to external shocks.
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    Maize production in 2015 expected to decline significantly from the bumper output of 2014. Consequently, the subregional maize import requirements are forecast to increase sharply in 2015/16. Maize prices increased in South Africa, the major subregional exporter, by nearly 30 percent since the beginning of the year. Food security improved significantly in 2014/15 following last year’s bumper crop; however, current production prospects raise concern.
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    Strengthening early actions and rapid response to mitigate impacts of the desert locust invasion on food security and livelihoods in the frontline countries of West Africa and the Sahel 2020
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    According to results of the latest Cadre Harmonisé analysis of food security in the Sahel, 17 million people may be facing severe acute food and nutrition insecurity (Phase 3 and above) by June–August 2020 (lean season). An additional 9 million people could suffer from a Desert Locust attack in the nine countries concerned by the potential current crisis. It is thus crucial to provide support to surveillance and control efforts of frontline countries (Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania and the Niger) in order to protect the livelihoods of already vulnerable farmers and pastoralists.

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