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作物前景与粮食形势 - 第4期 2009年11月









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    Bulletin
    作物前景与粮食形势 - 第2期 n 2009年4月 2009
    发展中国家高粮价问题持续存在,尽管全球谷物供应形势改观且国际价格大幅下滑。这对大量低收入脆弱人口的粮食获取造成影响。 近期对58个发展中国家国内粮食价格的分析显示,最新价格高于一年前的情况占78%,高于3个月前的情况占43%。受影响最大的是非洲撒哈拉以南国家。 预计2008/09年度结束时全球谷物库存量将大幅增加,主要原因是2008年谷物产量创纪录。 粮农组织预测2009年世界谷物产量将比去年的创纪录水平下滑3%。但由于结转库存充裕,2009/10年度供应前景依然令人满意。 在低收入缺粮国组别,由于2009年谷物产量仍可能维持在2008年高水平上下。 世界上仍有31个国家出现粮食紧急情况,尽管正常情况下粮食不安全风险最高的许多国家2008年谷物获得了好收成。
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    作物前景与粮食形势 - 第1期 2009年2月 2009
    Early indications point to a reduction in global cereal output in 2009 from the previous years record. Smaller plantings and/or adverse weather look likely to bring grain production down in most of the worlds major producers.
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    作物前景与粮食形势 - 第3期 n 2009年7月 2009
    虽然国际价格从2008年的高点大幅回落,但多数发展中国家国内粮食价格仍大大高于粮价飞涨危机之前的水平(参阅本期专题)。这一局面仍令人对食品开支占收入很大比重的低收入脆弱人群的粮食安全产生担忧。

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