COVER

THE PROBLEMS OF UNSTABLE RESOURCES MANAGEMENT1



TABLE OF CONTENTS

PROGRAMME FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF FISHERIES4
IN THE EASTERN CENTRAL ATLANTIC INT/81/01
FISHERY COMMITTEE FOR THE EASTERN CENTRAL ATLANTIC
CECAF/ECAF SERIES 84/28

by

S. Garcia
Senior Fishery Resources Officer
Fisheries Department - FAO

1 Lecture given at the DANIDA/FAO/ECAF Workshop on Fishery Management and Development, Santa Cruz, Tenerife, 1–10/6/83

The designations employed and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying or otherwise, without the prior permission of the copyright owner. Applications for such permission, with a statement of the purpose and extent of the reproduction, should be addressed to the Director, Publications Division, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Via delle Terme di Caracalla, 00100 Rome, Italy.

FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME Rome, 1984
© FAO


NOTE FOR THE READER

The DANIDA/FAO/CECAF Workshop on Fisheries Management and Development was held in Santa Cruz de Tenerife from 1 to 10 June 1983. This Workshop (intended for West African fisheries managers-administrators, directors, economists and biologists) was to deal, among other matters, with the problems of instable resources, and the organizers asked me to deliver a lecture summarizing the main conclusions of the FAO Expert Consultation to examine changes in abundance and species composition of neritic fish resources (held in San José, Costa Rica, from 18 to 29 April 1983), centring the lecture as far as possible on West Africa.

The present document therefore contains a summary of these conclusions as well as some personal elaborations on the consequences of this instability on modelization and management.

I hope to have paid justice to everyone through the bibliographic references, and would encourage the reader to refer to the Reports of the San José meeting for more information1.

S. Garcia

1 Csirke, J and G.D. Sharp (eds.), 1983 Reports of the expert Consultation to examine changes in abundance and species composition of neritic resources. FAO Fish.Rep., 291 (1):102

Hyperlinks to non-FAO Internet sites do not imply any official endorsement of or responsibility for the opinions, ideas, data or products presented at these locations, or guarantee the validity of the information provided. The sole purpose of links to non-FAO sites is to indicate further information available on related topics.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. INTRODUCTION

2. BIOLOGICAL ASPECTS

2.1 Variations in abundance

2.2 Other biological variations

2.3 Apparent replacement of species

2.4 Mechanisms of variations in abundance

2.5 Climatic variability in the eastern central Atlantic and its effects

3. NATURAL FLUCTUATIONS AND MODELIZATION

3.1 The production model

3.2 Stock-recruitment relation

3.3 The model of yield by recruitment

3.4 Prediction models

3.5 Bio-economic models

4. MECHANISMS OF BIO-ECONOMIC COLLAPSE

4.1 Biological collapse

4.2 Economic collapse

5. MANAGEMENT PROBLEMS

5.1 Interaction between management and environment

5.2 Management strategies (following Csirke, 1984)

5.2.1 Controlled “fluctuating” fishing system

5.2.2 Recourse to foreign fleets

5.2.3 Diversification

5.3 Management and reversibility of phases of collapse

5.4 Regulation methods

5.4.1 Direct regulation of fishing effort

5.4.2 Distribution of the controlled fishing effort

5.4.3 Scientific “approximations” and management

REFERENCES

Annex 1

Annex 2

LIST OF FIGURES

1.Variations in sardine landings in different regions of upwelling (Parrish, 1983)
2.Variations in catches of Alosa kessleri in the Black Sea (Ivanov, 1984)
3.Simultaneous variations in sardine landings (ref.)
4.Upwelling and catches of S. aurita in the Gulf of Guinea (data from CRO, Abidjan, FAO/CECAF, 1980)
5.)Examples of replacements of species in the North Sea (Ursin, 1982),Namibia (Crawford, Shelton and Hutchings, 1983) and Peru (Jordan, 1983)
6.)
7.)
8.Variation of the biomass of herring and mackerel spawn and landings of sprat and lance in the North Sea (Jones, 1983)
9.Variations in sardine catches (—) and proportions of sardine (—), horse mackerel and mackerel (- - -) horse mackerel, mackerel and sardinella (—). Source: CECAF Statistical Bulletin No. 3, 1981
10.Long-term climatic variations in West Africa (Faure and Gac, 1981)
11.Hydroclimatic variations in West Africa
12.Production model modified by wind section (and therefore by upwelling for the sardinella in Senegal) (Fréon, 1983)
13.Catches of sardines, and upwelling in Morocco (Belvéze and Erzini, 1983)
14.A: Standard production model B: Production model affected by a climatic variable
15.Standard (A) stock recruitment relation and (B) affected by the environment
16.Standard (A) bio-economic model and (B) affected by the environment
17.Evolution of profits depending on costs (investments) and under the action of the environment
18.A: Collapse and return of stock to normal B: Biological eruption and return to normal with fishing and without fishing
19.Theoretical schematic representation of the evolution of biomass, additional eruptive production and fishing effort when a biological eruption occurs
20.Stocks of evolution of a fishery
21.Schematic representation of the Management/Environment interaction
22.Definition of annual quotas of anchovy in California (following MacCall, 1980)
23.Effect of interannual variability on the precision of the calculated quotas