by
A.F. Bouwman
Senior Researcher, Global Emissions from Agriculture
National Institute of Public Health and the Environment
Bilthoven, the Netherlands
FAO LAND AND WATER BULLETIN 6
NATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC HEALTH AND THE ENVIRONMENT, THE NETHERLANDS (RIVM)
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO)
Rome, 1997
The designations employed and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. |
M-08
ISBN 92-5-103985-2
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying or otherwise, without the prior permission of the copyright owner. Applications for such permission, with a statement of the purpose and extent of the reproduction, should be addressed to the Director, Information Division, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Viale delle Terme di Caracalla, 00100 Rome, Italy.
© FAO 1997
The cover map shows the average temperature difference for winter months (December to February) in the range from -3ºC to 15ºC, comparing the results at the end of a United Kingdom Meteorological Office General Circulation Model (GCM) transient climate change experiment with the results obtained in a control experiment.
This electronic document has been scanned using optical character recognition (OCR) software and careful manual recorrection. Even if the quality of digitalisation is high, the FAO declines all responsibility for any discrepancies that may exist between the present document and its original printed version.
Aggregation
Population scenario
DemandSelf-sufficiency ratios and trade
Regional agricultural production
Crop yields and animal production
Irrigated and rainfed cropped areas
Animal populations and harvested areasExceptions to the scenario rules
Atmospheric emissions associated with production
Per caput demand for livestock products
Total demand and supply
Scenarios of livestock productionGeneral aspects
Meat production
Egg production
Milk production
Feed intensity of livestock production
Scenarios of feed intensity
Per caput demand for food crops
General aspects
Cereals
Pulses
Starchy foods
Sugar crops
Oil crops and other cropsCereals
Pulses
Starchy foods
Sugar crops
Oil crops and other crops
Total harvested area
Fertilizer intensity of crop production
Scenarios of fertilizer intensity
Scenarios of fertilizer use
Irrigated land
Cropping intensity
Arable land
Arable land for different cereal feed scenarios
Emissions from animal waste
Emissions from synthetic fertilizer use
Emissions from enteric fermentation
Emissions from wetland rice cultivation
9. PRESSURES ON AGRICULTURAL RESOURCES AND THE ENVIRONMENT
Pressures on fresh water
Pressures on land resources
Pressures on the environment
10. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Appendix 1
Appendix 2
Appendix 3
Appendix 4
Appendix 5
Appendix 6
Appendix 7
Appendix 8
Appendix 9
Appendix 10
Appendix 11
Appendix 12
Appendix 13
Appendix 14
Appendix 15
Appendix 16
Appendix 17
Appendix 18
Appendix 19
Appendix 20
Appendix 21
Appendix 22