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Climate change vulnerability in Serbia

An assessment of exposure, susceptibility and capacity at municipal level










FAO. 2021. Climate change vulnerability in Serbia – An assessment of exposure, susceptibility and capacity at municipal level. Budapest.




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    This paper examines the impacts of the El Niño during the 2015/2016 season on maize productivity and income in rural Zambia. The analysis aims at identifying whether and how sustainable land management (SLM) practices and livelihood diversification strategies have contributed to moderate the impacts of such a weather shock. The analysis was conducted using a specifically designed survey called the El Niño Impact Assessment Survey (ENIAS), which is combined with the 2015 wave of the Rural Agricultural Livelihoods Surveys (RALS), as well as high resolution rainfall data from the Africa Rainfall Climatology version 2 (ARC2). This unique, integrated data set provides an opportunity to understand the impacts of shocks like El Niño that are expected to get more frequent and severe in Zambia, as well as understand the agricultural practices and livelihood strategies that can buffer household production and welfare from the impacts of such shocks to drive policy recommendations. Results show that households affected by the drought experienced a decrease in maize yield by around 20 percent, as well as a reduction in income up to 37 percent, all else equal. Practices that moderated the impact of the drought included livestock diversification, income diversification, and the adoption of agro-forestry. Interestingly, the use of minimum soil disturbance was not effective in moderating the yield and income effects of the drought. Policies to support livestock sector development, agroforestry adoption, and off -farm diversification should be prioritized as effective drought resiliency strategies in Zambia.
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    Negative impacts of climate change on forests threaten the delivery of crucial wood and non-wood goods and environmental services on which an estimated 1.6 billion people fully or partly depend. Assessment of the vulnerability of forests and forest-dependent people to climate change is a necessary first step for identifying the risks and the most vulnerable areas and people, and for developing measures for adaptation and targeting them for specific contexts. This publication provides practical technical guidance for forest vulnerability assessment in the context of climate change. It describes the elements that should be considered for different time horizons and outlines a structured approach for conducting these assessments. The framework will guide practitioners in conducting a step-by-step analysis and will facilitate the choice and use of appropriate tools and methods. Background information is provided separately in text boxes, to assist readers with differing amounts of experience in forestry, climate change and assessment practices. The publication will provide useful support to any vulnerability assessment with a forest- and tree-related component.
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    Good agricultural practices and technologies to mitigate the impacts of natural disasters in oilseed rape production in Serbia 2021
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    Natural disasters, such as droughts, extreme temperature fluctuations, floods, and stormy winds, have gradually intensified in the past years. It is expected, due to climate change, that these disasters will become more frequent and pronounced. According to the Second Biennial Updated Report and the Third National Communication of the Republic of Serbia submitted to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in 2019, the Republic of Serbia is among the most endangered European countries in terms of natural disasters and climate change. Agriculture is one of the sectors most dependent on climate so is very sensitive to variation in environmental conditions and climate change. Agriculture activities and the people depending on this sector can be significantly affected by climate change. Thus, the Republic of Serbia’s economy is affected since the agriculture sector greatly contributes to gross domestic product (GDP) and provides employment to many rural people. The Serbian Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Water Management (MAFWM) wants to increase the readiness of oilseed rape producers and other agricultural producers to mitigate the impacts of natural disasters and climate change

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