Global Fibre Supply Model

Global Fibre Supply Model

Year of publication 1998

Place of publication Rome, Italy ;

Pages 97

Product type Book (stand-alone)

ISBN 9251042497

Series title Forestry Sector Outlook Studies

Edition 1

Full item page

Synopsis (short abstract) The Global Fibre Supply Model (GFSM) was initiated in late 1995. Along with a simple forecasting model, the study includes a compilation of the most recent forest inventory statistics as well as recovered and non-wood fibre data. In general terms, the study contributes to forest policy develpment by highlighting and underscoring the pressing need for reliable data, information and analysis on industrial fibre sources and their utilization, which will in turn support efforts to achieve sustainabl e forest management.

Language English

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Book (stand-alone)

The FAO Global Fibre Supply Study - Assumptions, Methods, Models and Definitions
GLOBAL FIBRE SUPPLY STUDY - Working Paper Series
1998

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In late 1995 at the request of the Advisory Committee on Paper and Wood Products the FAO Forestry Department initiated the Global Fibre Supply Study (GFSS) with an outlook to 2010 and beyond. The forest industry community and the public raise the question: Where is the raw material going to come from to cover our forest products needs? To help address this question, the overall study goal has been to "contribute to the world-wide forest policy development through the provision of reliable data, information and analysis of industrial fibre sources". The purpose of this particular working paper is to describe the assumptions, methods, model development and definitions used for the GFSS. It is intended to serve as a guide to the technical underpinnings of the study. It is probably most useful to analysts who wish to understand the details of our approach and it will also help in the further development and management of the database and provide the essential details for improving the su pply models. The study output is also described and it consists of two main components: the forest resource database and a fibre supply model used for examining alternative futures.
Book (stand-alone)

Recovered and Non-wood Fibre: Effects of Alternative Fibres on Global Fibre Supply
GLOBAL FIBRE SUPPLY STUDY - Working Paper Series
1997

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The paper examines the impact that alternative fibres, specifically recovered (recycled) and non-wood fibres, have had and may have on the global fibre supply. The properties and availability of each type of fibre are discussed. Based on historical data, three scenarios of future fibre supply were created: a projection of historical trends, an optimal model of high use of both types of fibre, and a minimal model of conservative use. A range of future availability of non-wood and recovered fibre could then be constructed. It was found that, in total, non-wood and recovered fibres currently comprise approximately 51 percent of the current levels of paper and paperboard production. The three scenarios predicted that this fraction would range from 50 to 90 percent of the world’s paper production level by 2010. The projection of historical trends shows a slow increase in alternative fibre content, culminating in a level of about 55 percent of total global paper production by 2010.
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Global forest products consumption, production, trade and prices: Global Forest Products Model Projections to 2010
Global Forest Product Outlook Study Working Paper No.: GFPOS/WP/01
1998

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A summary of the structure of the global forest products model (GFPM) and a description of the assumptions used in the forecasts. The main trends in forest product production , consumption and trade from 1995 to 2010 are given by region. Detailed tables of projections by country and product are presented in report's appendices.