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GIEWS Update - Southern Africa, 28 September 2018

Reduced 2018 harvests and agricultural productivity underpin increased rates of food insecurity










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    GIEWS Special Alert No. 343 - Southern Africa - 26 February 2018
    Erratic rains and an intense dry period in January lowers 2018 cereal production prospects
    2018
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    Erratic precipitation and well below-average rains in January have lowered Southern Africa’s overall 2018 cereal production prospects. Current national maize stocks are forecast at above-average levels due to the record outputs in 2017; this should partly cushion the expected production declines in 2018. Reduced harvests are still foreseen to intensify food insecurity in 2018, increasing the number of people in need of assistance; however, humanitarian needs expected to remain below the levels of 2016.
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    Newsletter
    GIEWS Update - The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, 5 September 2018
    High temperatures and below-average rainfall could affect the 2018 main season food output
    2018
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    In DPRK, below-average rains, coupled with high temperatures from mid-July until mid-August, resulted in moisture stress during critical crop development stages in localized areas of the main crop producing provinces, including South and North Hwanghae, and South and North Hamgyong. According to official estimates the dry spell affected 98 892 hectares of cropland, mostly paddy, maize and potatoes, representing 8 percent of the average area cultivated in the main season. Any drop in production could further aggravate food insecurity.
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    GIEWS Update Central America 2015
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    Prolonged dry weather associated with the current El Niño event reduces the 2015 output of the main season crops. Aggregate 2015 maize production of the subregion’s four major producing countries is tentatively forecast by FAO to fall 8 percent from the previous year’s already reduced level, but sharper declines are expected in most-affected El Salvador and Honduras. Imports of maize in the 2015/16 marketing year (September/August) are set to increase substantially in the subregion. Maize pr ices remain well above their year-earlier levels, reflecting the unfavourable production prospects and reduced availabilities from the 2014 drought-reduced harvests.

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