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GIEWS Update - Southern Africa, 28 September 2018

Reduced 2018 harvests and agricultural productivity underpin increased rates of food insecurity










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    Maize production in 2015 expected to decline significantly from the bumper output of 2014. Consequently, the subregional maize import requirements are forecast to increase sharply in 2015/16. Maize prices increased in South Africa, the major subregional exporter, by nearly 30 percent since the beginning of the year. Food security improved significantly in 2014/15 following last year’s bumper crop; however, current production prospects raise concern.
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    Erratic precipitation and well below-average rains in January have lowered Southern Africa’s overall 2018 cereal production prospects. Current national maize stocks are forecast at above-average levels due to the record outputs in 2017; this should partly cushion the expected production declines in 2018. Reduced harvests are still foreseen to intensify food insecurity in 2018, increasing the number of people in need of assistance; however, humanitarian needs expected to remain below the levels of 2016.
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    GIEWS Update - The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, 5 September 2018
    High temperatures and below-average rainfall could affect the 2018 main season food output
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    In DPRK, below-average rains, coupled with high temperatures from mid-July until mid-August, resulted in moisture stress during critical crop development stages in localized areas of the main crop producing provinces, including South and North Hwanghae, and South and North Hamgyong. According to official estimates the dry spell affected 98 892 hectares of cropland, mostly paddy, maize and potatoes, representing 8 percent of the average area cultivated in the main season. Any drop in production could further aggravate food insecurity.

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