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GIEWS Update - Southern Africa, 28 September 2018

Reduced 2018 harvests and agricultural productivity underpin increased rates of food insecurity










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    GIEWS Special Alert No. 343 - Southern Africa - 26 February 2018
    Erratic rains and an intense dry period in January lowers 2018 cereal production prospects
    2018
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    Erratic precipitation and well below-average rains in January have lowered Southern Africa’s overall 2018 cereal production prospects. Current national maize stocks are forecast at above-average levels due to the record outputs in 2017; this should partly cushion the expected production declines in 2018. Reduced harvests are still foreseen to intensify food insecurity in 2018, increasing the number of people in need of assistance; however, humanitarian needs expected to remain below the levels of 2016.
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    GIEWS Update - The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, 5 September 2018
    High temperatures and below-average rainfall could affect the 2018 main season food output
    2018
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    In DPRK, below-average rains, coupled with high temperatures from mid-July until mid-August, resulted in moisture stress during critical crop development stages in localized areas of the main crop producing provinces, including South and North Hwanghae, and South and North Hamgyong. According to official estimates the dry spell affected 98 892 hectares of cropland, mostly paddy, maize and potatoes, representing 8 percent of the average area cultivated in the main season. Any drop in production could further aggravate food insecurity.
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    GIEWS Update West Africa - Sahel, 3 July 2018
    Elevated risk of deterioration in food security in pastoral areas across Sahel and Lake Chad Basin
    2018
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    Poor rains in 2017 affected livestock across the pastoral areas of the Sahel. Persisting insecurity hampers access of animals to the grazing areas in northeastern Nigeria, northern Mali and the Lake Chad Region. Large concentrations of livestock in safe areas are resulting in shortages of pasture and depressed prices of livestock products and incomes for pastoralists. Prices of cereals are generally at high levels as demand is reinforced by the return of transhumant pastoralists moving from southern areas to northern normal grazing areas. Livestock prices are at low levels due to declining export demand from Nigeria, resulting in decreasing terms of trade and reducing pastoralists’ access to food. Around 2.5 million pastoralists and agro-pastoralists are food insecure, and a high risk of livelihood losses are expected during the lean season if mitigation actions are not taken. Timely support to pastoralists’ livelihoods is needed to prevent a deterioration of their food security situation and undesirable macro-economic implications.

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