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2025–2034年经合组织–粮农组织农业展望

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    经合组织‑粮农组织2025‑2034年农业展望 2025
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    经合组织‑粮农组织2024‑2033年农业展望 2024
    《经合组织‑粮农组织2024‑2033年农业展望》包含了对未来十年农产品、渔业和水产养殖市场的共识评估。今年的报告揭示了一些重要趋势。新兴经济体将在全球农业格局中发挥决定性作用,特别是印度,预计将首次超过中国。然而,预计低收入国家的卡路里摄入量仅会增加4%。尽管预计农业温室气体排放强度将有所下降,但农业直接排放可能会增加5%。然而,假设到2030年食品损失和浪费减少一半,这些排放量有可能全球减少4%,而营养不良人口可能达到1.53亿人。国际农业市场的有效运作仍将是全球粮食安全和农村人口生计的关键。考虑到预期的发展,预计在未来十年,国际实际基准价格将会略微下降,前提是没有环境、社会、地缘政治或经济因素引起的重大变化。
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    经合组织‑粮农组织2024‑2033年农业展望
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    《经合组织‑粮农组织2024‑2033年农业展望》对未来十年全球、区域和国家层面农产品和渔类市场前景进行全面分析。本报告由经济合作与发展组织和联合国粮食及农业组织共同编写,成员国和国际商品机构提供了支持,迄今已持续编撰20年。本报告为政策规划提供参考,特别是在近期全球新冠疫情、地缘政治紧张局势加剧以及气候变化影响日益加大的背景下。第20期《展望》回顾了过去二十年全球农业的演变,并预测至2033年。
  • Thumbnail Image
    Book (series)
    Technical study
    经合组织‑粮农组织2025‑2034年农业展望 2025
    本报告是经合组织与粮农组织的合作成果,同时吸收了成员国和国际组织的意见和建议。
  • Thumbnail Image
    Book (stand-alone)
    High-profile
    经合组织‑粮农组织2024‑2033年农业展望 2024
    《经合组织‑粮农组织2024‑2033年农业展望》包含了对未来十年农产品、渔业和水产养殖市场的共识评估。今年的报告揭示了一些重要趋势。新兴经济体将在全球农业格局中发挥决定性作用,特别是印度,预计将首次超过中国。然而,预计低收入国家的卡路里摄入量仅会增加4%。尽管预计农业温室气体排放强度将有所下降,但农业直接排放可能会增加5%。然而,假设到2030年食品损失和浪费减少一半,这些排放量有可能全球减少4%,而营养不良人口可能达到1.53亿人。国际农业市场的有效运作仍将是全球粮食安全和农村人口生计的关键。考虑到预期的发展,预计在未来十年,国际实际基准价格将会略微下降,前提是没有环境、社会、地缘政治或经济因素引起的重大变化。
  • Thumbnail Image
    Brochure, flyer, fact-sheet
    Brochure
    经合组织‑粮农组织2024‑2033年农业展望
    内容提要
    2024
    《经合组织‑粮农组织2024‑2033年农业展望》对未来十年全球、区域和国家层面农产品和渔类市场前景进行全面分析。本报告由经济合作与发展组织和联合国粮食及农业组织共同编写,成员国和国际商品机构提供了支持,迄今已持续编撰20年。本报告为政策规划提供参考,特别是在近期全球新冠疫情、地缘政治紧张局势加剧以及气候变化影响日益加大的背景下。第20期《展望》回顾了过去二十年全球农业的演变,并预测至2033年。

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