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FPMA 简报 #10 CH,2025年12月12日

食品价格趋势月度报告












查看第9期《食品价格监测与分析》(2025年12月12日)全文(仅英文版)



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    FPMA 简报 #4 CH,2025年5月12日
    食品价格趋势月度报告
    2025
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    2025年4月,所有主要谷物的价格均小幅上涨。在小麦和玉米市场,一些主要出口国出口供应趋紧,汇率波动,以及贸易政策的变化抵消了全球价格的动荡。国际稻米价格略微上涨,原因是香稻需求增强,以及越南季节性价格下行压力减弱。 根据粮农组织对2025年3-4月国内主粮价格数据的分析,极端天气、长期冲突、汇率波动以及食品相关政策措施持续对价格造成影响。南部非洲大多数地区的玉米价格下跌,原因是2025年供应有望恢复(干旱影响了2024年收成)。相比之下,国内产量下降推高了中美和南美部分地区的玉米价格。在东欧、高加索和中亚地区,面粉价格整体保持稳定,其中,乌克兰和哈萨克斯坦价格小幅上涨。由于收成前景良好,远东稻米价格普遍回落。 在西非和东非,粗粮价格维持在高位,原因是局部地区产量下降、货币贬值以及冲突导致供应受限。在近东和北非地区,尽管近期价格出现企稳迹象,但补贴减少导致伊朗和黎巴嫩面粉和面包价格维持在高位。
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    FPMA 简报 #7 CH,2025年9月11日
    食品价格趋势月度报告
    2025
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    2025年8月,全球玉米和小麦价格走势因地而异。收成前景良好推动美国价格下探,而收割工作推迟,以及质量可能存在问题导致欧盟和俄罗斯小麦报价走高。相比之下,由于出口国间的竞争持续激烈,国际稻米价格下跌。 大多数受粮农组织监测国家的主粮价格同比走高的主要原因仍是冲突、货币波动、以及极端天气。近东地区的面粉价格同比走高,其中,近期取消主要政府补贴的国家的涨幅最为明显。在东欧、高加索和中亚地区,国内需求强劲导致价格上涨,乌克兰价格走高的主要原因仍是冲突导致物流受阻。东非地区的粗粮价格整体同比上涨,其中,由于近期冲突升级,苏丹部分地区的价格飙升。相比之下,丰收带来充足供应,远东的稻米价格以及南部非洲和南美的玉米价格因此承受下行压力。在西非,由于2024年收成高于平均水平,且政府采取措施保障国内供应,价格因此下跌。
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    FPMA 简报 #1 CH,2025年2月11日
    食品价格趋势月度报告
    2025
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    2025年1月,全球玉米价格上涨,而小麦和稻米价格均下跌,其中,小麦价格仅小幅下降。影响玉米价格的因素包括阿根廷和巴西的种植条件不佳,以及主要出口国供应紧张。小麦价格仅小幅下跌,原因是进口需求疲软抵消了出口供应紧张(尤其是来自俄罗斯联邦的供应)带来的影响。国际稻米价格下跌,原因是可出口的供应充足,且出口国间的竞争日益激烈。 根据粮农组织对最新国内粮食价格数据的分析,2024年12月和2025年1月,尽管正在收割或近期完成收割的国家的价格环比下降,但多国价格同比持续上涨。在远东,缅甸和菲律宾的稻米价格接近历史最高记录,原因包括收成前景不佳,投入品成本高昂等。在东非和西非,长期冲突,加之宏观经济挑战导致一些国家的主要主粮价格显著走高。在南部非洲,由于国内供应紧张,若干国家的白玉米价格创历史最高记录。

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