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粮食展望 2018年11月

市场综述












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    6月份国际小麦价格上涨,但由于供应前景看好,价格仍低于去年水平。玉米价格上涨,原因是南美洲和黑海区域出口供应迅速缩减。供应紧张继续对亚洲多数产地的稻米价格形成支撑,但涨幅受到需求低迷的抑制。 在非洲,南苏丹和尼日利亚谷物价格大幅上涨,其中前者是由于受到高通胀和局势动荡的推动,而后者是由于本国货币贬值。在南非,黄玉米国内价格进一步上涨,较去年6月高出近50%,原因是国内供应紧张且货币疲软。 在南美洲,多数国家黄玉米价格上涨且大大高于一年前水平,特别是在阿根廷和巴西,这是由于分别受到出口步伐强劲和2016年减产的推动。
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    市场综述
    2024
    粮农组织最新预测显示若干基本食品产量提高,库存量增加。但全球粮食产量仍易受天气状况、地缘政治紧张和政策引发的冲击的不利影响。这些因素可能打破供求关系的脆弱平衡,从而对全球粮食安全造成影响。《粮食展望》为半年刊,6月号刊发粮农组织对世界主要食品的市场供求趋势研判的评述,这些食品为谷物、油料作物、食糖、肉类、奶类和鱼类。《粮食展望》也考查粮食进口费用、海运费率、国际粮食价格及期货市场。粮农组织市场及贸易司在全球信息和预警系统(GIEWS)项下编写和刊行《粮食展望》,发挥提高全球粮食市场透明度的作用。在全球谷物市场方面,《粮食展望》与GIEWS的另一主要季刊《作物前景与粮食形势》保持密切协作。《粮食展望》以英文出版,概要部分还以阿拉伯文、中文、法文、俄文和西班牙文刊出。
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    Book (series)
    Technical report
    粮食展望 市场综述 2016年10 2017
    《粮食展望》由粮农组织贸易及市场司在全球信息和预警系统 (GIEWS)项下出版。该半年刊主要关注的是影响全球粮食和饲料市场 的各种动向。每期报告都对各种商品的产量、利用量、贸易量、库存 量和价格进行综合评述并做出短期预测,也刊出针对不同议题的专题 文章。《粮食展望》与GIEWS的另一主要刊物《作物前景与粮食形势》 密切协作,特别是在涉及谷物的方面。《粮食展望》以英文出版,概 要部分还以阿拉伯文、中文、法文、西班牙文和俄文刊出。

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    The FAOSTAT emissions database is composed of several data domains covering the categories of the IPCC Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU) sector of the national GHG inventory. Energy use in agriculture is additionally included as relevant to emissions from agriculture as an economic production sector under the ISIC A statistical classification, though recognizing that, in terms of IPCC, they are instead part of the Energy sector of the national GHG inventory. FAO emissions estimates are available over the period 1961–2018 for agriculture production processes from crop and livestock activities. Land use emissions and removals are generally available only for the period 1990–2019. This analytical brief focuses on overall trends over the period 2000–2018.
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    What will be needed to realize the vision of a world free from hunger and malnutrition? After shedding light on the nature of the challenges that agriculture and food systems are facing now and throughout the 21st century, the study provides insights into what is at stake and what needs to be done. “Business as usual” is not an option. Major transformations in agricultural systems, rural economies, and natural resources management are necessary. The present study was undertaken for the quadrennial review of FAO’s strategic framework and for the preparation of the Organization Medium-Term plan 2018-2021.