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ArticleVulnerability assessment of Ukrainian forests to climate change as the base of nature-based solutions for mitigation and adaptation
XV World Forestry Congress, 2-6 May 2022
2022Also available in:
No results found.A wide range of climatic conditions in Ukraine causes significant regional differences in the vulnerability of forests to climate change. The mitigation/adaptation strategy should be based on assessments of their vulnerability at the regional level. Phytoindication model by prof. Y.P. Didukh (1994) was used to assess forest vulnerability. The model gives a quantitative estimation of climate as one of major environmental factors affecting the distribution, condition and productivity of vegetation on the base of climate-related indicators – continentality, humidity and frost. For these indicators climate suitability scales were calculated. Modeling was carried out for main forest species: Pinus sylvestris L., Quercus robur L., Fagus sylvatica L., Picea abies (L.) H.Karst, Betula pendula Roth., Alnus glutinosa (L.) Gaertn. and Robinia pseudoacacia L. Climate projections based on the Euro CORDEX time series (up to 2100) and 2 scenarios of the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP 4.5, RCP 8.5) were used. By means of Q-GIS the maps containing zones of suitability to climate for each of studied species were created for current climate conditions and future time series. The directions for strengthening the mitigation and adaptive capacity of forests are considered. The mainstream for nature-based solutions is adaptive sustainable forest management, which provides: 1)optimization of land use structure and increasing the forested area; 2) development and implementation of a national forestry program considering the priorities of climate change and low-carbon development; 3) using wood to substitute greenhouse gas intensive-materials and fossil fuels; 4) best forestry practices through the introduction of modern Climate Smart Forestry principles. Keywords: RCP 4.5, RCP 8.5, Euro CORDEX, climate trends, adaptive forest management ID: 3487120 -
DocumentImmersive Forest: Using VR to communicate the impacts of climate change and management practices on future forests
XV World Forestry Congress, 2-6 May 2022
2022Also available in:
No results found.The expected changes in the Earth’s climate could affect substantially how forests contribute to climate mitigation. Education, as a pillar for development and growth, needs practical tools to help future forestry experts better understand the underlying mechanisms and shape adaptive forest management strategies. Three-dimensional (3D) visualization and Virtual Reality (VR) have a great potential to help scientific knowledge transfer and enhance learning in forest management and planning. We developed a software system able to project forest stands under climate change uncertainty, by coupling a forest dynamics and ecosystem services simulator with VR technology.
As a case study, we selected representative forest stands along the climatic gradient of Catalonia, Spain, and projected them 100 years into the future under two climate change scenarios and increasing thinning intensities. Forest dynamics simulations were based on SORTIE-ND spatially explicit process-based model, while ecosystem services estimations relied on statistical models from the literature. The simulated outputs were translated into high fidelity 3D models and visualized in the VR platform developed in the Unity game engine. The VR application allows navigation through different stages of the simulation, exploring the impacts of management prescriptions and climate change scenarios on individual trees and forest ecosystem services.
Our approach can serve as an excellent exercise for forest management practitioners and forestry students. While we specifically focus on its educational potential, the VR tool can facilitate communication between experts and the public on the interactive effects of climate change and management actions on forested areas. Keywords: Climate change, Sustainable forest management, Adaptive and integrated management, Education ID: 3487007 -
DocumentReview of methodology on climate change impact and vulnerability assessment for application to the forest sector in Republic of Korea: The first step for mainstreaming adaptation in forest sector
XV World Forestry Congress, 2-6 May 2022
2022Also available in:
No results found.As the two laws, The Framework Act on Agriculture and Fisheries, Rural Community and Food Industry and The Creation and Management of Forest Resources Act, were revised in 2015 and 2019, respectively, the Korean government made it mandatory for Korea Forest Service to report the results of climate change impact and vulnerability assessment on forest sector. For implementing the above duty, the National Institute of Forest Science (NIFoS) has categorized the forest sector to eighteen detailed sectors and established monitoring framework to assess the climate change impacts since 2015.
This study aims to develop appropriate methodology and framework for assessment of climate change impact and vulnerability on forest sector in Korea by reviewing what the NIFoS has conducted in comparison with the previous cases in the USA, Canada and the UK. To achieve this, this study first clarifies the ultimate goals of assessment and categorizes assessment areas for each detailed sector. Then, by reviewing the major factors on vulnerability assessment used in the Adaptation Partners Frameworks (USA), the Climate Change Response Framework (USA), the Canadian Council of Forest Ministers Framework (Canada), and the Climate Change Risk Assessment (UK), this study draws the possible stepwise check list with the hope of producing appropriate results on climate change impact and vulnerability which can be utilized in the stage of mainstreaming adaptation in forest sector. The tentative framework drawn from this study contains the considerations about where we need to go and how to go for achieving adaptation.
This study is expected to contribute to establish the essential basis for supporting decision making for finding actual tools to conserve and enhance forest ecosystem services and sustain life of human being under climate change pressure. Keywords: Climate change, Adaptive and integrated management, Monitoring and data collection, Policies, Sustainable forest management ID: 3621974
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