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Special Alert No. 323 Parts of the Horn of Africa- January 2006









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    Book (stand-alone)
    Special Report Ethiopia- February 2006 2006
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    Aggregate cereal and pulse production in Ethiopia from the 2005/06 “meher” season is forecast at 17.12 million tonnes, about 14 percent above the previous year’s revised estimates and 46 percent above the average of the previous four years. The increase was due to well-distributed and timely rainfall in main crop producing areas, increased use of fertiliser and improved seeds, rapid control of migratory pests, and increased area under cultivation compared to previous years. Despite the goo d harvest, some 2.6 million acutely food insecure people will require emergency food assistance. In addition some 7.2 million chronically food-insecure people will require food assistance through the Productive Safety Net Programme. Of immediate concern is the food situation of some 1.5 million people, mainly pastoralists in the south-eastern Ethiopia, due to failed seasonal rains. Pre-famine conditions are reported, including widespread human and livestock distress migrations, deterioration of livestock body condition and cases of livestock deaths. Total emergency food aid requirements are estimated at approximately 340 000 tons. In view of the expected good domestic grain production in Ethiopia, local purchases for food aid by both the Government and donors are highly recommended to support domestic markets.
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    Book (stand-alone)
    Crop Prospects and Food Situation - No. 1 April 2006 2006
    World cereal production in 2006 is forecast to decline marginally from last year's good level. Wheat output is expected to decrease reflecting smaller crops in the United States and the CIS in Europe, due to adverse weather. Production of coarse grains is tentatively forecast to decline mostly as a result of reduced plantings anticipated in the United States. Rice output may increase as very early prospects are favourable. In Eastern Africa, recent rains eased somewhat drought conditions i n the pastoral areas of the Horn, where 7.9 million people require emergency food aid. In Southern Africa, the 2006 maize crop, being gathered, has recovered from last year's drought-affected harvest in most countries of the subregion. However in South Africa and Angola, production will decline. In North Africa, bumper wheat and barley crops are in prospect. In Asia, the outlook for the 2006 wheat crop, being harvested, has deteriorated in India, but it is positive in other main producers of the region. Emergency assistance in needed in Mongolia and Timore-Leste following a sharply reduced 2005 cereal production. In Latin America and the Caribbean, the 2006 wheat output is anticipated substantially up in Mexico. In South America, maize output is forecast as sharply down in Argentina but production will recover in Brazil. However, rice crop in Brazil is put well below the record level of 2005. In Paraguay, the soybean crop will be again severely reduced by dry weather. A larger 2006 wheat crop is forecast in the EU but production is expected to decline in the United States. In the Russian Federation and Ukraine this year's wheat production is put sharply down due to abnormally cold winter.
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    Newsletter
    FAO/GIEWS Special Alert No. 337 - East Africa, 20 December 2016
    Alarming food insecurity in several areas of East Africadue to severe drought
    2016
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    Widespread drought severely affects crops and rangelands in East Africa and food insecurity is expected to significantly deteriorate by early 2017 Major areas of concern are central and southern Somalia, South-Eastern Ethiopia, northern and eastern Kenya, northern and eastern United Republic of Tanzania and South-Eastern Uganda Sharply increasing prices of cereals and livestock products constrain food access for large numbers of households Recurrent climatic shocks have undermined household resi lience and urgent support to agriculture is needed.

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