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Food Price Monitoring and Analysis (FPMA) Bulletin # 7, 10 September 2020

Monthly Report on Food Price Trends












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    Seasonal supplies continued to weigh on the world prices of wheat and maize in August 2023, as their harvesting operations were concluded in the Northern and Southern Hemisphere, respectively. By contrast, international rice prices rose to their highest level in 15 years, in nominal terms, largely reflecting trade disruptions registered in the aftermath of India’s July ban on Indica white rice exports. In most countries monitored by FAO, domestic prices of basic food commodities persisted at year-on-year higher levels in July and August 2023 due to the impact of conflict and insecurity, adverse weather, high prices of agricultural inputs, elevated distribution costs and currency weaknesses. On a monthly basis, domestic rice prices increased seasonally in most countries in East Asia, while supplies from 2023 harvests supported a decline in maize prices in Southern Africa and South America. In Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia countries and in East Asia, ample carryover stocks and supplies from recent harvests underpinned month-on-month declines in wheat and wheat flour prices.
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    Global wheat prices decreased in August 2024, mostly reflecting weak international demand and larger production estimates in some major exporters. Regarding maize, concerns about crop conditions and prospects of tighter export supply contributed to slightly firmer international prices. International rice prices increased, although mixed price trends across origins and varieties kept the August increase modest. In several FAO­-monitored countries, domestic staple food prices remained at high levels in July and August 2024. In South Sudan and the Sudan, food access continued to be highly constrained as prices of coarse grains reached new record highs in an environment of protracted conflict, tight domestic supply and persistent macroeconomic difficulties. In Southern Africa, food prices remained under upward pressure, amid supply shortages following the drought-reduced 2024 cereal harvests and weak currencies.
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    International wheat prices continued to ease in August, influenced by increased availability from ongoing harvests and the resumption of exports from Ukraine’s Black Sea ports. By contrast, maize prices firmed mostly on strong demand for supplies from Argentina and Brazil amidst a tighter global supply outlook and pressure from energy markets. World rice prices held steady in August, as slight declines in quotations of the most widely traded “Indica” varieties compensated for the mild price gains in other rice market segments. Based on latest available data, FAO analysis indicates that a significant number of countries, particularly low‑income food importers, continued to face elevated levels of food prices in August. Upward price pressures slightly eased in areas where harvests were ongoing or recently concluded, but prices generally remained higher year on year from the combined effects of reduced domestic supplies, national macroeconomic difficulties, currency depreciation, localized insecurity and higher-than-normal fuel and fertilizer prices.

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