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Bayesian approaches to stock assessment provide a means for
the analyst to combine information for the stock for which an assessment is
needed, information based on expert opinion and inferences for other species in
a probabilistic framework. It is even possible to consider uncertainty about
which model of the population dynamics is correct. This manual provides an
overview of the application of Bayesian methods through a series of worked
examples in EXCEL, provided on the four accompanying diskettes. The examples are
based on biomass dynamics and stock-recruitment models, and focus on the use of
assessments that form the basis for evaluating the consequences of alternative
management actions. |
