FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - November 1997:

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COTE D'IVOIRE


Area: 318 000 sq.km
Climate: Tropical wet-dry; two rainy seasons (March-July and September-December) in south and one in north
Population: 14.76 million (1996 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 660 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country
Logistics: Ports and roads adequate; gateway to Burkina Faso and Mali
Major foodcrops: Roots and tubers, fruit, rice, maize
Marketing year: January/December; Lean season: April to July
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 40 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Light rains, which started in the south in early March became very abundant during the third dekad of the month over the whole country and remained widespread and abundant in April. In May, rainfall decreased in the first and second dekads, resumed towards the end of the month and remained abundant in June. A significant reduction occurred in July, August and early September over the south and the centre, where precipitation has been well below normal. In the north, millet and sorghum are currently harvested and a good harvest is expected following favourable growing conditions. In the south, rice is being harvested. Following poor rains from mid July to mid September in the south, the main maize and rice production is expected to be reduced compared to previous years. Upland rice, which accounts for the bulk of the Ivorian rice production has been severely affected by the dry period. The planting of the second maize crop, which usually takes place in late August, early September could not start before late September, due to a lack of rains. As a result, the second maize crop output might be poor if the rainy season stops before maturity.

The overall food supply situation is satisfactory and markets are adequately supplied. However, rice prices are higher than last year during the same period, probably due to mitigated crop output and an increase in import taxes. About 305 000 Liberian refugees are present in the western departments. Their nutritional status is reported to be adequate. WFP, NGOs and other donors estimated the caseload of Liberian refugees to be assisted from January 1997 at 175 000 people. The cereal import requirement for 1997 (January/December), is estimated at 505 000 tons, mostly wheat and rice.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1997 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

-

950

700

1 650

Normal Imports

220

280

20

520

of which: Structural food aid

-

-

-

-

1997 Domestic Availability

5

594

648

1 247

1996 Production (rice in paddy terms)

-

1 139

648

1 787

1996 Production (rice in milled terms)

-

584

648

1 232

Possible stock drawdown

5

10

-

15

1997 Utilization

255

844

653

1 752

Food Use

250

734

518

1 502

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

5

110

125

240

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

10

10

Possible stock build up

-

-

-

-

1997 Import Requirement

250

250

5

505

Anticipated commercial imports

250

210

5

465

Food aid needs

-

40

-

40

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

6

33

6

45

of which: Delivered

6

24

4

34

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

17

50

35

102

Indexes





1996 production as % of normal:




108

1997 import requirement as % of normal:




97

1997 food aid requirement as % of normal:




-


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