FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - November 1997:

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MOZAMBIQUE


Area: 784 000 sq.km
Climate: Tropical wet-dry; coast is semi-arid
Population: 18.53 million (1997 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 80 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; exposed to tropical storms and cyclones
Logistics: Dilapidated rail and road transport fleet; lack of fuel and spares; poor roads; substantial deliveries by coastal vessels; disruption by guerrillas
Major foodcrops: Roots, tubers, maize
Marketing year: March/April; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 53 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Preparation for the 1997/98 crop season has started against a background of serious concerns over a possible El Niño-related drought. The government has initiated an information campaign to raise the population’s awareness, particularly of the need to prepare contingency plans. Following the 1997 good cereal harvest of 1.53 million tons, including a record maize output of 1.04 million tons, the overall food supply situation is satisfactory. Cereal import requirements are estimated at 205 000 tons of rice and wheat, compared to over 300 000 tons in the previous years. Food aid, estimated at about 112 000 tons of grain, is primarily for vulnerable people in remote areas and in regions affected by floods earlier in the year. Pledges to date amount to 163 000 tons, of which 54 000 tons have been delivered.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1997/98 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production (rice in paddy terms)

-

50

458

508

Normal Imports

102

60

244

406

of which: Structural food aid

102

52

140

294

1997/98 Domestic Availability

-

118

1 351

1 469

1997 Production (rice in paddy terms)

-

177

1 351

1 528

1997 Production (rice in milled terms)

-

118

1 351

1 469

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

-

-

1997/98 Utilization

144

179

1 360

1 683

Food Use

137

170

1 195

1 502

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

(10)

(10)

Non-food use

7

9

162

178

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

-

-

Possible stock build up

-

-

3

3

1997/98 Import Requirement

144

61

9

214

Anticipated commercial imports

72

30

-

102

Food aid needs

72

31

9

112

of which emergency

-

-

9

9

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

74

18

71

163

of which: Delivered

27

7

20

54

Donor-financed local purchases

-

-

10

10

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

7

9

65

81

Indexes


1997 production as % of normal:




301

1997/98 import requirement as % of normal:




53

1997/98 food aid requirement as % of normal:




38


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