FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - November 1997:

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BURKINA FASO


Area: 274 000 sq.km
Climate: Tropical wet-dry in south, semi-arid in north; one rainy season: May-October
Population: 10.56 million (1996 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 230 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; sahelian land-locked country
Logistics: Roads inadequate during rainy season; adequate rail link to Abidjan (Côte d'Ivoire)
Major foodcrops: Millet, sorghum, pulses, maize
Marketing year: November/October; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 73 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Crop prospects are unfavourable in the east, the Central Plateau and the north. Rainfall was generally good and widespread in May and June, but irregular in July and August. Precipitations were generally widespread during the first and the third dekad of September but scarce during the second dekad, with mostly dry weather in the centre. Satellite imagery shows that vegetation index was above average during the first half of the season but became below average in August and September, notably in the centre and the east. By contrast, it is above average in the traditionally drier regions of the north (Sahel provinces). Coarse grains are now being harvested. In the centre, centre-north and the east, growing conditions have been less favourable and harvest prospects are poor. Pastures have generally regenerated satisfactorily, except in the east. Water reserves are replenished, but at levels much lower than last year. Grasshopper infestations have been reported, notably in the north and the east. Treatment is underway.

A joint FAO/CILSS Crop Assessment Mission visited Burkina Faso from 18 to 24 October. Composed of experts from FAO/GIEWS, the DIAPER Programme and the Agrhymet Centre of CILSS, this Mission worked closely with the national services involved in the monitoring of the rainy season (meteorology, hydrology, plant protection, agricultural statistics, markets and prices) as well as with the USAID/FEWS and NGOs. It estimated 1997 aggregate cereal production at 2.28 million tons, which is about 7 percent below average and 8 percent below the 1996 level. It is also the lowest output since 1990. Compared to average, production increased for rice and maize but decreased for millet, sorghum and fonio. Therefore, cereal imports for the 1997/98 marketing year are likely to increase.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1996/97 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

-

60

2 400

2 460

Normal Imports

40

75

35

150

of which: Structural food aid

5

3

25

33

1996/97 Domestic Availability

-

74

2 500

2 574

1996 Production (rice in paddy terms)

-

112

2 370

2 482

1996 Production (rice in milled terms)

-

74

2 370

2 444

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

130

130

1996/97 Utilization

40

137

2 520

2 697

Food Use

37

109

2 129

2 275

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

(25)

(25)

Non-food use

1

13

366

380

Exports or Re-exports

-

5

25

30

Possible stock build up

2

10

-

12

1996/97 Import Requirement

40

63

20

123

Anticipated commercial imports

35

60

10

105

Food aid needs

5

3

10

18

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

13

9

4

26

of which: Delivered

13

9

4

26

Donor-financed local purchases

-

-

9

9

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

3

10

202

215

Indexes





1996 production as % of normal:




101

1996/97 import requirement as % of normal:




82

1996/97 food aid requirement as % of normal:




55


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