FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 1999 SENEGAL 37

SENEGAL

Area:

193 000 sq.km

Climate:

Semi-arid in north, tropical wet-dry in south, with rains in June-October

Population:

9.48 million (2000 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 550 (1997)

Specific characteristics of the country:

Low-income food-deficit country; coastal sahelian country

Logistics:

Port capacity adequate; gateway to Mali.

Major foodcrops:

Millet and sorghum, rice, maize, wheat

Marketing year:

November/October; Lean season: August-September

Share of cereals in total calorie intake:

61 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

Overall crop prospects are favourable, reflecting widespread and generally above normal rainfall in August and September. The Sénégal River overflowed its banks, causing flooding, notably in Saint-Louis region. Pastures are abundant countrywide, benefiting from regular rains since July. Infestations of grasshoppers and other insects are reported in several areas. Prospects for recession crops are good as large areas have been flooded in the Sénégal River valley.

A joint FAO/CILSS Crop Assessment Mission from 25 to 29 October estimated 1999 rainfed cereal production at about 962 000 tonnes (rice in paddy equivalent), which is 7 percent above the five-year average. With recession and off-season crops estimated at about 47 000 tonnes, the aggregate cereal production amounts to 1 009 100 tonnes (rice in paddy equivalent).

The overall food situation is satisfactory. Markets are well supplied and the price of rice is stable. Prices of local cereals are low. However, in the flooded areas in Diourbel, Kaolack, Fatick regions and in the Sénégal river valley (Dagana, Podor, Matam, Bakel), localized food supply difficulties are likely.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999/2000 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

-

172

762

934

Normal Imports

200

440

60

700

of which: Structural food aid

4

7

2

13

1999/2000 Domestic Availability

10

190

738

938

1999 Production (rice in paddy terms)

-

271

738

1 009

1999 Production (rice in milled terms)

-

190

738

928

Possible stock drawdown

10

-

-

10

1999/2000 Utilization

235

640

823

1 698

Food Use

232

597

694

1 523

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

20

20

Non-food use

3

33

116

152

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

-

-

Possible stock build up

-

10

13

23

1999/2000 Import Requirement

225

450

85

760

Anticipated commercial imports

220

450

80

750

Food aid needs

5

-

5

10

Current Aid Position

Food aid pledges

-

-

-

-

of which: Delivered

-

-

-

-

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

-

-

of which: for local use

-

-

-

-

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

25

63

73

161

Indexes

1999 production as % of normal:

108

1999/2000 import requirement as % of normal:

109

1999/2000 food aid requirement as % of normal:

77

FAO/GIEWS - December 1999

Area:	193 000 sq.km
Climate:	Semi-arid in north, tropical wet-dry in south, with rains in June-October
Population:	9.48 million (2000 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 550 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country:	Low-income food-deficit country; coastal sahelian country
Logistics:	Port capacity adequate; gateway to Mali.
Major foodcrops:	Millet and sorghum, rice, maize, wheat
Marketing year:	November/October; Lean season: August-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:	61 percent

	Wheat	Rice	Coarse grains	Total
Normal Production	-	172	762	934
Normal Imports	200	440	60	700
of which: Structural food aid	4	7	2	13
1999/2000 Domestic Availability	10	190	738	938
1999 Production (rice in paddy terms)	-	271	738	1 009
1999 Production (rice in milled terms)	-	190	738	928
Possible stock drawdown	10	-	-	10
1999/2000 Utilization	235	640	823	1 698
Food Use	232	597	694	1 523
of which: local purchase requirement	-	-	20	20
Non-food use	3	33	116	152
Exports or Re-exports	-	-	-	-
Possible stock build up	-	10	13	23
1999/2000 Import Requirement	225	450	85	760
Anticipated commercial imports	220	450	80	750
Food aid needs	5	-	5	10
Current Aid Position
Food aid pledges	-	-	-	-
of which: Delivered	-	-	-	-
Donor-financed purchases	-	-	-	-
of which: for local use	-	-	-	-
for export	-	-	-	-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)	25	63	73	161
Indexes
1999 production as % of normal:				108
1999/2000 import requirement as % of normal:				109
1999/2000 food aid requirement as % of normal:				77