THE FUTURE OF FORESTS

RAP PUBLICATION: 2008/03

ASIA–PACIFIC FORESTRY COMMISSION

THE FUTURE OF FORESTS IN ASIA AND THE PACIFIC:
OUTLOOK FOR 2020
16–18 October 2007, Chiang Mai, Thailand

Edited by

Robin N. Leslie

FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS
REGIONAL OFFFICE FOR ASIA AND THE PACIFIC
Bangkok, 2009

The designations employed and the presentation of material in this information product do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) concerning the legal or development status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. The mention of specific companies or products of manufacturers, whether or not these have been patented, does not imply that these have been endorsed or recommended by FAO in preference to others of a similar nature that are not mentioned.

All rights reserved. Reproduction and dissemination of material in this information product for educational or other non-commercial purposes are authorized without any prior written permission from the copyright holders provided the source is fully acknowledged. Reproduction of material in this information product for resale or other commercial purposes is prohibited without written permission of the copyright holders. Applications for such permission should be addressed to: Chief, Electronic Publishing Policy and Support Branch,Communication Division, FAO, Viale delle Terme di Caracalla, 00153 Rome, Italy, or by e-mail to: [email protected]

Cover design: Chanida Chavanich

Photo credits: Session plates, Masakazu Kashio

Additional editing inputs provided by: Chris Brown, Patrick B. Durst, CTS Nair, Janice Naewboonnien and Jeremy Broadhead

For copies write to:

Patrick B. Durst
Senior Forestry Officer
FAO Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific
39 Phra Atit Road
Bangkok 10200
Thailand
E-mail: [email protected]

Printed and published in Bangkok, Thailand

Foreword
Acknowledgements
Background and overview
Opening session
	Welcome address J.P.L. Srivastava
	Governor’s address Pyroj Sangpuvong
	Presidential address Paisal Kuwalairat
	Society, forests and change — creating a better future Jan Heino
	The world’s forests — an evolving perspective on politics, policies and practices Jagmohan S. Maini
Session 1: Forestry in Asia and the Pacific — overview
	Whither the forests of Asia and the Pacific? Mette Løyche Wilkie
	Future prospects for production and trade in tropical timber Ahma bin Buang
Session 2: Driving forces and key issues for Asia–Pacific forestry
	Challenging forestry issues in Asia and their strategies Don K. Lee
	Emerging issues in Pacific Island Countries and their implications for sustainable forest management Suliana Siwatibau
	Policy and institutional issues Jagdish Kishwan
Session 3a: Societal transition and social developments¹
	Is there a future role for forests and forestry in reducing poverty? Thomas Enters, Mark Sandiford, Yurdi Yasmi and John Guernier
	The future of forest-dependent indigenous communities in Asia and the Pacific Peter Walpole and Kumiko Shimamoto-Kubo
	Lessons learned from new initiatives in forest management Neela Mukherjee
	Communities in conservation: protected area management and enhanced conservation in Bangladesh Sharif Ahmed Mukul and Shimona A. Quazi
Session 3b: Forests and the environment
	Payments for environmental services from forests Rodel D. Lasco and Grace B. Villamor
Session 3c: Wood and other products
	Trends and outlook for forest product markets in Asia and the Pacific Adrian Whiteman and Ragnar Jonsson
	The future of non-wood forest production B.K. Tiwari, C. Kumar and M.B. Lynser
	Forestry and bioenergy in Asia and the Pacific Chris J.K. Perley
	Role of agroforests and small-scale production forestry in employment generation and environmental conservation P.P. Bhojvaid
Session 4: Dynamics between protected areas and economic use
	Emerging trends in protected area management Ghazala Shahabuddin
	Agricultural land use in Asia and the Pacific Yuji Niino
Session 5: Impacts of globalization on forests and forestry in Asia and the Pacific
	Global market impacts on Asia–Pacific forests in 2020 Andrew Morton and Graham Applegate
	Corporate private sector dimensions in planted forest investments Dennis Neilson
Session 6: Macrotrends for the twenty-first century
	Economic growth and social trends in Asia and their implications for Asia’s forests Shiladitya Chatterjee
Session 7a: Regional implications of national changes — some major influences²
	The outlook for forests and forestry in China Lu De
	The outlook for forests and forestry in Japan Hiro Miyazono
	India’s outlook on forests: the regional context Ram Prasad
	The future of forests in Asia and the Pacific: an Australian perspective Adam Gerrand
Session 7b: Modeling and scenario building: the outlook for forestry in Asia and the Pacific
	Emerging scenarios in the Asia–Pacific pulp and paper sector to 2020: a preliminary assessment of implications for wood demand and land use Chris Barr and Brian Stafford
	Policy solutions to illegal logging: a forest sector model analysis Steven Northway and Gary Q. Bull
	Environmental performance assessment in the Greater Mekong Subregion Lothar Linde, Iain Watson and Tonnie Tekelenburg
	Future forest and biodiversity impact: biodiversity modeling and scenario analyses Wilbert van Rooij and Tonnie Tekelenburg
Session 8a: Civil society perspectives on the future³
	Mitigating the corruption factor in the Asia–Pacific region Lisa Ann Elges
	The SmartWood programme for verification of legal origin Christian Sloth, Jeffrey Hayward and Loy Jones
	Key challenges for the NGO community to 2020 Chen Hin Keong
Session 8b: Private sector perspectives on the future
	Changes in the perception and role of foresters in the age of sustainable forest management and community participation Peter W. Volker
	The ideal climate for a forest culture David Rhodes
	Some key challenges to 2020 for the private sector Barney Chan
Session 9: Adapting institutions to the future
	Are forestry institutions failing to adapt? Maharaj Muthoo
	Institutional frameworks and organizational structures for future forest management Ian Ferguson
	Prospects for Malaysian forest governance: an NGO perspective Meng-Chuo Wong
Session 10: Overview of main findings and the way forward
	Summing up Neil Byron
Appendixes
	Appendix 1: Conference programme
	Appendix 2: Winning entries from FAO’s Young Forestry and Development Professionals Writing Competition:
		The future of forest use and management in Asia and the Pacific: trend of change in the next 20 years Mahbubul Alam
		The future of Nepal’s forest: the outlook for 2020 Pabitra Jha
		Sustainable forest management Iqbal Lufti
		How will the use and management of forest and trees change Viet Nam over the next 20 years? Dang Thuy Nga
		The use and management of trees and forests in Himachal Pradesh, India in the next 20 years Pushpendra Rama

¹ Sessions 3a, 3b and 3c were conducted in parallel under the theme of "balancing economic, environmental and social functions".
² Sessions 7a and 7b were conducted in parallel under the theme of "geographic and technical perspectives".
³ Sessions 8a and 8b were conducted in parallel under the theme of "non-government perspectives".

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