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Decision-making and economics of adaptation to climate change in the fisheries and aquaculture sector












Watkiss, P., Ventura, A. and Poulain, F. 2019. Decision-making and economics of adaptation to climate change in the fisheries and aquaculture sector. FAO Fisheries and Aquaculture Technical Paper No. 650. Rome, FAO.



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    The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) has developed in partnership with European research institutes an integrated package of models to carry out climate change impact assessment studies at the national level. This package, called FAOMOSAICC (for Modelling System for Agricultural Impacts of Climate Change), allows for climate data downscaling, spatial interpolation, hydrological modelling, and crop and economic simulations, to be carried out sequentially. FAO-MOSAICC is designed to be distributed to national institutions in developing countries. While FAO-MOSAICC can be used for a wide range of analyses (climate change impacts on water resources, crop yields etc.), its ultimate 2 objective is to identify the most robust adaptation strategies to mitigate the potentially adverse effects of climate change on national food security. This paper describes the modelling system with a focus on the Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (DCGE) model that simulates th e effects of climate-change-induced changes in crop yields on national economies over time. To make the use of the model as cheap as possible for use by national institutions, it uses an open source programming language and free software to solve the model. The model can be implemented and solved on Windows and Linux platforms. Some features of the model will be illustrated by a test of the model on Moroccan data with projections over the period 2001-2030.
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    Climate variability and change are affecting hydro-meteorological cycles and altering aquatic ecosystems, driving shifts in physical and chemical processes, ecological communities and the distribution and abundance of species. These changes have implications for fisheries management, food security and the livelihoods of more than 600 million people worldwide that are employed in fisheries and aquaculture, their value chains and related industries. This conference, FishAdapt: the global conference on climate change adaptation for fisheries and aquaculture, held in Bangkok from 8 to 10 August, 2016, provided a forum for scientists, development professionals and natural resource managers working in the context of fisheries, aquaculture, rural development and related fields to share practical experiences in understanding the vulnerabilities associated with climate change and ocean acidification and the development of risk management and adaptation strategies. The conference bridged interdisciplinary gaps and provide a wider, shared perspective on the issues and the current state of knowledge. These proceedings share the experiences of the 110 participants from 27 countries and show that much can be done at the household, community and sector levels to support the resilience of the sector and its dependent communities in a changing climate.

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