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FAO-MOSAICC - Modelling Systems for Agricultural Impacts of Climate Change

Year of publication 2015

Pages 28 p.

Author Migena Cumani

Publisher FAO ;

Product type Book (stand-alone)

ISBN No ISBN

Edition 1

Synopsis (short abstract) Climate change poses a great challenge risk to agricultural production systems, increasing the use of water, extending agriculture to marginal areas and reducing productivity in some areas potentially threatening those who particularly depend on local food production for their livelihood. Information on the impact of climate change is a primary tool for policy makers to cope with climate change. In the recent years, scientists have developed a range of different models, which monitor, evaluate a nd predict the effect of climatic change. However, information is often scattered, incomplete or specifically focused on one scientific domain. An innovative multidisciplinary approach combining all knowledge from the different domains would therefore be an ideal tool to evaluate the sustainability of our agricultural systems. The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) in partnership with European research institutes has developed MOSAICC, a system of models and utilitie s designed to carry out inter-disciplinary climate change impact assessment on agriculture, water resources, forestry, economy through simulations at national level. It uses an innovative approach that integrates five components to assess the impact of climate change and comprises documentation on methods and tools, as well as user manual and sample data. The system is typically deployed in national institutions (ministries, research institutes, universities) and delivered with training sessions , under the framework of an inter-institutional agreement and trust fund sources.

Language English

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    The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) has developed in partnership with European research institutes an integrated package of models to carry out climate change impact assessment studies at the national level. This package, called FAOMOSAICC (for Modelling System for Agricultural Impacts of Climate Change), allows for climate data downscaling, spatial interpolation, hydrological modelling, and crop and economic simulations, to be carried out sequentially. FAO-MOSAICC is designed to be distributed to national institutions in developing countries. While FAO-MOSAICC can be used for a wide range of analyses (climate change impacts on water resources, crop yields etc.), its ultimate 2 objective is to identify the most robust adaptation strategies to mitigate the potentially adverse effects of climate change on national food security. This paper describes the modelling system with a focus on the Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (DCGE) model that simulates th e effects of climate-change-induced changes in crop yields on national economies over time. To make the use of the model as cheap as possible for use by national institutions, it uses an open source programming language and free software to solve the model. The model can be implemented and solved on Windows and Linux platforms. Some features of the model will be illustrated by a test of the model on Moroccan data with projections over the period 2001-2030.
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    Brochure, flyer, fact-sheet
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    The following leaflet provides an overview of the the Modelling System for Agricultural Impacts of Climate Change (MOSAICC) tool and how it can be used to report on adaptation in the agriculture sectors under the Enhanced Transparency Framework (ETF).
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