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Book (stand-alone)Short-term projection of global fish demand and supply gaps 2017
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No results found.A short-term projection model is developed to assess and monitor potential future fish demand and supply gaps at the country (nearly 200 countries or territories), regional (about 40 country groups), and global levels for nine species groups. Salient results at the global, regional and country levels are presented in the main text. Key results for all countries and all the nine species groups (including both standard and conservative projections) are documented in the appendix. The results indic ate that: (i) if fish prices and consumer preferences remain the same, income growth would drive world per capita fish demand up from 20 kg/year in the mid-2010s to 25 kg/year in the early 2020s (or 23 kg/year under the conservative projection); (ii) the income-driven per capita fish demand hike, combined with population growth, would drive world fish demand up by 47 million tonnes (or 31 million tonnes under the conservative projection); (iii) the 19-million-tonne fish supply growth generated b y the trend growth of world aquaculture production would cover only 40 percent of the projected demand growth (or 62 percent of the conservative projection), leaving a fish demand-supply gap of 28 million tonnes (or 16 million tonnes under the conservative projection) in the early 2020s; (iv) the demand-supply gap for shellfish (i.e. crustaceans and molluscs) would be bigger than that for finfish – they would account for, respectively, 55 percent and 45 percent of the 28-million-tonne fish deman d-supply gap; (v) while world aquaculture production following its recent trend would grow 4.5 percent annually from the mid-2010s to the early 2020s, it would take a 9.9 percent annual growth (or 6.9 percent under the conservative projection) to fill the world fish demand-supply gap in the early 2020s; (vi) the trend aquaculture growth in only 17 countries (or 24 countries under the conservative projection) would be sufficient to cover the demand growth driven by population and income growth; e xcess demand is expected to occur in 170 countries (or 163 countries under the conservative projection); and (vii) should the world aquaculture production fall short of the required annual growth rate (i.e. 9.9 percent or 6.9 percent under the standard or conservative projection), and assuming world capture fisheries production would remain at the current level, the world fish price would have to increase to reduce fish demand in order to clear the market (i.e. no demand-supply gap). Results gen erated by the short-term projection model are useful for policymaking, development aids, business or investment planning, and other decision-making by various stakeholders in aquaculture and fisheries. They are a complement to and can potentially enhance the understanding of the results of more sophisticated forecasting models such as the OECD-FAO Fish Model and the World Bank-IFPRI-FAO Fish to 2030 model. -
Book (series)World Aquaculture 2020 – A brief overview 2022
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No results found.This document provides a synthesis of six regional aquaculture reviews: Asia-Pacific, Europe, Latin America and the Caribbean, Near East and North Africa, North America and sub-Saharan Africa. Global aquaculture production, including aquatic plants, in 2018 was 114.5 million tonnes, with an estimated value of USD 263 billion. The Asia-Pacific region continued to be the major producer. Globally, aquaculture provides over 50 percent of fish for human consumption. In 2018, aquaculturists were reported to farm about 622 species or species items including 387 finfishes, 111 molluscs, 64 crustaceans, seven frogs and reptiles, ten miscellaneous aquatic invertebrates and 43 aquatic plants. From 2000-2018, aquaculture production in freshwater, brackish water and marine water increased at a compound annual growth rate of 5.7 percent, 7.7 percent and 5.2 percent respectively while total aquaculture production grew at an annual growth rate of 5.6 percent. Global food supply and per capita consumption of fish and fish products continued to increase faster than human population growth. Aquaculture is striving to innovate in order to increase production and sustainability. Progress in biosecurity and fish health management, feed formulation and utilization, and genetic resource management are showing good, but uneven progress. The aquaculture sector faces challenges including competition for land and water resources, as well as external factors such as climate change, conflict, economic uncertainties and most recently the COVID-19 pandemic. The pandemic and other stresses such as droughts and tsunamis, revealed that the aquaculture industry has not engaged sufficiently in disaster preparedness. International and national mechanisms are being put in place to increase the sustainability, good governance and social license of the sector to address these challenges. The diversity of the sector, the opportunities for good jobs and commitments by governments to good governance will help the sector meet these challenges. -
Book (stand-alone)Genetic resources for microorganisms of current and potential use in aquaculture
Thematic background study
2021Also available in:
No results found.Aquaculture is the farming of aquatic organisms ranging from microbes to shellfish and finfish. Fisheries production from the capture of wild fish has remained fairly constant since the late 1980s and it is the increase in production from aquaculture that has led to substantial growth in fish production for human consumption, with aquaculture contributing more than wildcaught fisheries for the first time in 2014 and this trend is likely to continue. Global aquaculture production accounted for 44.1 percent of total global fish production, including production for non-food uses, in 2014. The share of fish produced by aquaculture for human consumption increased from 26 percent in 1994 to about 50 percent in 2014, with 73.8 million tonnes of fish valued at USD 160 billion being harvested from aquaculture in 2014. In facing the challenge of providing food to a growing human population predicted to reach 9.7 billion by 2050, fish consumption, especially produced from aquaculture, has an important role to play. The Second International Conference on Nutrition (ICN2) held in 2014 adopted the Rome Declaration on Nutrition that highlighted the key role of fish in meeting the nutritional needs of this growing population. Global per capita fish consumption has increased from under 10 kg in the 1960s to approach 20 kg in 2014 and 2015 and now provides over 3.1 billion people with approaching 20 percent of their animal protein intake, enhancing people’s diets around the world. Microbes play a critically important role in the cycling of nutrients in terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems globally. Marine microbes are responsible for approximately half of global primary production and play a huge role in the cycling of carbon, nitrogen, phosphorus and other nutrients. Microbes have a central role in sustaining life on earth and lie at the centre of such as sustainability and climate change. Microbes also have a direct, central and critically important role in fisheries and aquaculture. Microbes in natural marine and freshwater ecosystems are key components of food webs, primary and secondary production and nutrient cycling. A wide range of microbes are used directly in aquaculture as live feeds, probiotics, and in filtration systems. Aquatic microorganisms are therefore indispensable resources for growth of shellfish and finfish in natural aquatic ecosystems and in aquaculture.
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