Table A.1. Comparison between probit and spatial probit in the headcount index and in the percentage of poor people at county level, total sample | ||||||
County |
Total poor |
Total pop. |
% poor |
Difference[((b-a)/b)*100] |
||
Bigman (a) |
Spatial p. (b) |
Bigman (a) |
Spatial p. (b) |
|||
Cuenca |
98 079 |
97 735 |
331 028 |
29.6 |
29.5 |
-0.351 |
Giron |
10 141 |
10 088 |
13 191 |
76.9 |
76.5 |
-0.525 |
Gualaceo |
26 664 |
26 969 |
35 586 |
74.9 |
75.8 |
1.130 |
Nabon |
11 716 |
11 768 |
14 606 |
80.2 |
80.6 |
0.436 |
Paute |
16 207 |
16 327 |
21 887 |
74.0 |
74.6 |
0.736 |
Pucara |
14 586 |
14 626 |
16 626 |
87.7 |
88.0 |
0.272 |
San Fernando |
3 324 |
3 342 |
4 298 |
77.3 |
77.8 |
0.526 |
Santa Isabel |
14 242 |
14 181 |
17 160 |
83.0 |
82.6 |
-0.434 |
Sigsig |
20 566 |
20 619 |
25 103 |
81.9 |
82.1 |
0.258 |
Oña |
2 461 |
2 473 |
3 244 |
75.9 |
76.2 |
0.503 |
Chordeleg |
7 475 |
7 467 |
9 683 |
77.2 |
77.1 |
-0.111 |
El Pan |
2 672 |
2 653 |
3 690 |
72.4 |
71.9 |
-0.750 |
Sevilla De Oro |
4 928 |
4 902 |
6 553 |
75.2 |
74.8 |
-0.529 |
Guachapala |
2 518 |
2 543 |
3 435 |
73.3 |
74.0 |
1.001 |
Guaranda |
48 353 |
49 084 |
66 241 |
73.0 |
74.1 |
1.491 |
Chillanes |
15 785 |
15 954 |
20 477 |
77.1 |
77.9 |
1.060 |
Chimbo |
9 699 |
9 700 |
15 602 |
62.2 |
62.2 |
0.005 |
Echeandia |
6 092 |
6 105 |
9 821 |
62.0 |
62.2 |
0.216 |
San Miguel |
18 048 |
18 004 |
28 044 |
64.4 |
64.2 |
-0.242 |
Caluma |
6 095 |
5 998 |
9 828 |
62.0 |
61.0 |
-1.603 |
Las Naves |
3 777 |
3 814 |
5 075 |
74.4 |
75.2 |
0.974 |
Azogues |
41 848 |
42 513 |
61 570 |
68.0 |
69.0 |
1.565 |
Biblian |
16 665 |
16 719 |
22 286 |
74.8 |
75.0 |
0.323 |
Cañar |
46 606 |
47 010 |
55 259 |
84.3 |
85.1 |
0.860 |
La Troncal |
22 138 |
22 412 |
32 540 |
68.0 |
68.9 |
1.224 |
El Tambo |
6 116 |
6 152 |
6 974 |
87.7 |
88.2 |
0.582 |
Deleg |
5 431 |
5 485 |
7 298 |
74.4 |
75.2 |
0.991 |
Tulcan |
37 614 |
38 598 |
63 158 |
59.6 |
61.1 |
2.550 |
Bolivar (De Carchi) |
12 471 |
12 442 |
15 157 |
82.3 |
82.1 |
-0.235 |
Espejo |
9 541 |
9 469 |
13 188 |
72.3 |
71.8 |
-0.767 |
Mira |
11 484 |
11 446 |
14 040 |
81.8 |
81.5 |
-0.331 |
Montufar |
21 294 |
21 686 |
29 454 |
72.3 |
73.6 |
1.806 |
San Pedro De Huaca |
5 109 |
5 058 |
6 485 |
78.8 |
78.0 |
-1.020 |
Latacunga |
75 061 |
75 130 |
117 603 |
63.8 |
63.9 |
0.092 |
La Mana |
14 433 |
14 564 |
20 960 |
68.9 |
69.5 |
0.897 |
Pangua |
13 058 |
13 149 |
16 814 |
77.7 |
78.2 |
0.688 |
Pujili |
35 343 |
35 554 |
44 343 |
79.7 |
80.2 |
0.592 |
Salcedo |
31 799 |
31 808 |
45 322 |
70.2 |
70.2 |
0.027 |
Saquisili |
9 893 |
9 857 |
12 829 |
77.1 |
76.8 |
-0.375 |
Sigchos |
16 943 |
17 010 |
18 453 |
91.8 |
92.2 |
0.389 |
Riobamba |
73 080 |
74 995 |
163 779 |
44.6 |
45.8 |
2.553 |
Alausi |
34 109 |
34 473 |
39 309 |
86.8 |
87.7 |
1.055 |
Colta |
41 615 |
42 052 |
47 568 |
87.5 |
88.4 |
1.038 |
Chambo |
7 636 |
7 656 |
9 463 |
80.7 |
80.9 |
0.268 |
Chunchi |
11 660 |
11 646 |
13 490 |
86.4 |
86.3 |
-0.119 |
Guamote |
26 917 |
27 013 |
28 058 |
95.9 |
96.3 |
0.355 |
Guano |
28 493 |
28 653 |
37 106 |
76.8 |
77.2 |
0.561 |
Pallatanga |
7 864 |
7 919 |
9 482 |
82.9 |
83.5 |
0.699 |
Penipe |
5 788 |
5 730 |
7 078 |
81.8 |
81.0 |
-1.005 |
Cumanda |
5 711 |
5 785 |
7 097 |
80.5 |
81.5 |
1.282 |
Machala |
49 491 |
50 447 |
157 607 |
31.4 |
32.0 |
1.895 |
Arenillas |
9 702 |
9 809 |
18 314 |
53.0 |
53.6 |
1.092 |
Atahualpa |
3 728 |
3 626 |
6 142 |
60.7 |
59.0 |
-2.803 |
Balsas |
2 651 |
2 587 |
4 066 |
65.2 |
63.6 |
-2.488 |
Chilla |
2 055 |
2 033 |
2 767 |
74.3 |
73.5 |
-1.083 |
El Guabo |
19 871 |
19 817 |
28 058 |
70.8 |
70.6 |
-0.271 |
Huaquillas |
17 487 |
17 985 |
27 806 |
62.9 |
64.7 |
2.770 |
Marcabeli |
3 281 |
3 254 |
4 889 |
67.1 |
66.6 |
-0.836 |
Pasaje |
28 665 |
29 537 |
51 406 |
55.8 |
57.5 |
2.952 |
Piñas |
11 685 |
11 723 |
21 843 |
53.5 |
53.7 |
0.322 |
Portovelo |
5 811 |
5 838 |
10 257 |
56.7 |
56.9 |
0.458 |
Santa Rosa |
25 926 |
26 525 |
50 852 |
51.0 |
52.2 |
2.259 |
Zaruma |
14 864 |
14 803 |
23 852 |
62.3 |
62.1 |
-0.410 |
Las Lajas |
3 943 |
3 883 |
4 866 |
81.0 |
79.8 |
-1.529 |
Esmeraldas |
57 564 |
61 927 |
135 145 |
42.6 |
45.8 |
7.044 |
Eloy Alfaro |
22 267 |
22 237 |
25 389 |
87.7 |
87.6 |
-0.135 |
Muisne |
18 278 |
18 095 |
22 537 |
81.1 |
80.3 |
-1.007 |
Quininde |
57 135 |
56 509 |
71 901 |
79.5 |
78.6 |
-1.108 |
San Lorenzo |
18 043 |
18 352 |
22 552 |
80.0 |
81.4 |
1.686 |
Atacames |
15 801 |
15 980 |
18 014 |
87.7 |
88.7 |
1.122 |
Rio Verde |
16 317 |
16 211 |
19 911 |
81.9 |
81.4 |
-0.649 |
Guayaquil |
338 200 |
498 000 |
1 570 011 |
21.5 |
31.7 |
32.088 |
Alfredo Baquerizo Moreno |
12 233 |
12 611 |
16 253 |
75.3 |
77.6 |
2.999 |
Balao |
9 569 |
9 730 |
12 514 |
76.5 |
77.8 |
1.656 |
Balzar |
30 523 |
31 810 |
43 965 |
69.4 |
72.4 |
4.044 |
Colimes |
15 342 |
15 190 |
19 232 |
79.8 |
79.0 |
-1.001 |
Daule |
44 471 |
44 988 |
65 534 |
67.9 |
68.6 |
1.150 |
Duran |
31 164 |
34 078 |
85 196 |
36.6 |
40.0 |
8.551 |
El Empalme |
38 198 |
39 192 |
58 351 |
65.5 |
67.2 |
2.538 |
El Triunfo |
15 875 |
16 065 |
24 551 |
64.7 |
65.4 |
1.186 |
Milagro |
55 693 |
57 488 |
116 397 |
47.8 |
49.4 |
3.121 |
Naranjal |
38 222 |
37 587 |
39 466 |
96.8 |
95.2 |
-1.689 |
Naranjito |
13 457 |
13 806 |
25 608 |
52.6 |
53.9 |
2.524 |
Palestina |
7 669 |
7 830 |
11 191 |
68.5 |
70.0 |
2.055 |
Pedro Carbo |
22 128 |
22 803 |
31 628 |
70.0 |
72.1 |
2.959 |
Salinas |
16 511 |
17 042 |
32 434 |
50.9 |
52.5 |
3.111 |
Samborondon |
18 948 |
19 629 |
33 965 |
55.8 |
57.8 |
3.468 |
Santa Elena |
59 544 |
61 205 |
84 010 |
70.9 |
72.9 |
2.714 |
Santa Lucia |
22 006 |
21 922 |
27 342 |
80.5 |
80.2 |
-0.379 |
Urbina Jado |
38 462 |
38 904 |
43 812 |
87.8 |
88.8 |
1.135 |
Yaguachi |
26 569 |
27 092 |
39 323 |
67.6 |
68.9 |
1.929 |
Playas |
12 469 |
12 902 |
21 490 |
58.0 |
60.0 |
3.358 |
Simon Bolivar |
13 632 |
13 591 |
17 240 |
79.1 |
78.8 |
-0.303 |
Coronel Marcelino Maridueña |
5 424 |
5 450 |
11 078 |
49.0 |
49.2 |
0.474 |
Lomas De Sargentillo |
7 353 |
7 579 |
10 410 |
70.6 |
72.8 |
2.992 |
Nobol (Piedrahita) |
7 928 |
7 793 |
10 524 |
75.3 |
74.1 |
-1.732 |
La Libertad |
31 389 |
32 763 |
53 108 |
59.1 |
61.7 |
4.193 |
General Antonio Elizalde (Bucay) |
3 452 |
3 654 |
6 968 |
49.5 |
52.4 |
5.536 |
Isidro Ayora |
4 705 |
4 646 |
5 797 |
81.2 |
80.1 |
-1.265 |
Ibarra |
67 930 |
70 333 |
119 493 |
56.8 |
58.9 |
3.417 |
Antonio Ante |
18 159 |
18 803 |
27 375 |
66.3 |
68.7 |
3.424 |
Cotacachi |
26 914 |
26 855 |
33 250 |
80.9 |
80.8 |
-0.222 |
Otavalo |
40 145 |
40 495 |
56 286 |
71.3 |
71.9 |
0.862 |
Pimampiro |
14 035 |
14 020 |
15 359 |
91.4 |
91.3 |
-0.111 |
San Miguel De Urcuqui |
11 263 |
11 061 |
13 736 |
82.0 |
80.5 |
-1.825 |
Loja |
67 180 |
68 580 |
144 493 |
46.5 |
47.5 |
2.041 |
Calvas |
20 998 |
21 373 |
29 398 |
71.4 |
72.7 |
1.757 |
Catamayo |
15 726 |
16 133 |
22 357 |
70.3 |
72.2 |
2.520 |
Celica |
11 264 |
11 325 |
14 329 |
78.6 |
79.0 |
0.538 |
Chaguarpamba |
8 111 |
8 179 |
9 850 |
82.3 |
83.0 |
0.838 |
Espindola |
15 830 |
15 815 |
18 191 |
87.0 |
86.9 |
-0.095 |
Gonzanama |
13 908 |
13 822 |
17 276 |
80.5 |
80.0 |
-0.625 |
Macara |
11 698 |
12 271 |
18 281 |
64.0 |
67.1 |
4.670 |
Paltas |
21 991 |
22 123 |
28 605 |
76.9 |
77.3 |
0.597 |
Puyango |
13 298 |
13 309 |
16 804 |
79.1 |
79.2 |
0.083 |
Saraguro |
22 972 |
23 002 |
26 842 |
85.6 |
85.7 |
0.131 |
Sozoranga |
8 338 |
8 330 |
9 729 |
85.7 |
85.6 |
-0.085 |
Zapotillo |
7 830 |
7 931 |
10 234 |
76.5 |
77.5 |
1.269 |
Pindal |
6 417 |
6 470 |
7 457 |
86.1 |
86.8 |
0.820 |
Quilanga |
4 445 |
4 463 |
5 553 |
80.0 |
80.4 |
0.409 |
Olmedo |
4 380 |
4 409 |
5 146 |
85.1 |
85.7 |
0.658 |
Babahoyo |
57 078 |
57 445 |
105 471 |
54.1 |
54.5 |
0.638 |
Baba |
22 580 |
22 500 |
29 406 |
76.8 |
76.5 |
-0.357 |
Montalvo |
10 144 |
10 236 |
19 023 |
53.3 |
53.8 |
0.906 |
Pueblo Viejo |
19 168 |
19 364 |
22 662 |
84.6 |
85.4 |
1.013 |
Quevedo |
42 248 |
44 541 |
104 175 |
40.6 |
42.8 |
5.147 |
Urdaneta |
14 223 |
14 087 |
23 459 |
60.6 |
60.1 |
-0.963 |
Ventanas |
39 955 |
40 950 |
58 494 |
68.3 |
70.0 |
2.428 |
Vinces |
40 117 |
41 532 |
54 234 |
74.0 |
76.6 |
3.406 |
Palenque |
15 977 |
16 215 |
18 242 |
87.6 |
88.9 |
1.471 |
Buena Fe |
19 348 |
19 695 |
33 370 |
58.0 |
59.0 |
1.765 |
Valencia |
19 472 |
19 683 |
27 270 |
71.4 |
72.2 |
1.072 |
Mocache |
23 947 |
24 507 |
31 753 |
75.4 |
77.2 |
2.288 |
Portoviejo |
67 054 |
67 537 |
201 861 |
33.2 |
33.5 |
0.715 |
Bolivar (De Manabi) |
22 183 |
22 259 |
37 580 |
59.0 |
59.2 |
0.341 |
Chone |
66 058 |
65 711 |
114 811 |
57.5 |
57.2 |
-0.529 |
El Carmen |
33 673 |
34 089 |
54 070 |
62.3 |
63.0 |
1.220 |
Flavio Alfaro |
16 385 |
16 244 |
23 613 |
69.4 |
68.8 |
-0.868 |
Jipijapa |
48 970 |
49 453 |
69 177 |
70.8 |
71.5 |
0.976 |
Junin |
11 177 |
11 102 |
18 243 |
61.3 |
60.9 |
-0.668 |
Manta |
47 021 |
49 856 |
132 816 |
35.4 |
37.5 |
5.687 |
Montecristi |
19 008 |
19 801 |
29 636 |
64.1 |
66.8 |
4.006 |
Pajan |
34 159 |
34 311 |
42 446 |
80.5 |
80.8 |
0.444 |
Pichincha |
21 760 |
21 474 |
28 827 |
75.5 |
74.5 |
-1.334 |
Rocafuerte |
16 489 |
16 615 |
26 021 |
63.4 |
63.9 |
0.759 |
Santa Ana |
32 976 |
32 592 |
49 164 |
67.1 |
66.3 |
-1.177 |
Sucre |
35 410 |
36 532 |
65 322 |
54.2 |
55.9 |
3.071 |
Tosagua |
20 935 |
20 891 |
31 778 |
65.9 |
65.7 |
-0.212 |
24 De Mayo |
23 902 |
23 969 |
34 026 |
70.2 |
70.4 |
0.279 |
Pedernales |
22 811 |
22 643 |
30 677 |
74.4 |
73.8 |
-0.739 |
Olmedo |
7 402 |
7 365 |
10 166 |
72.8 |
72.4 |
-0.505 |
Puerto Lopez |
10 599 |
10 782 |
13 630 |
77.8 |
79.1 |
1.698 |
Jama |
7 404 |
7 376 |
10 039 |
73.8 |
73.5 |
-0.380 |
Jaramijo |
5 421 |
5 651 |
8 024 |
67.6 |
70.4 |
4.077 |
Morona |
13 194 |
13 219 |
20 562 |
64.2 |
64.3 |
0.191 |
Gualaquiza |
8 254 |
8 039 |
12 518 |
65.9 |
64.2 |
-2.679 |
Limon |
5 995 |
5 949 |
8 813 |
68.0 |
67.5 |
-0.770 |
Palanda |
3 848 |
3 764 |
5 525 |
69.7 |
68.1 |
-2.232 |
Santiago |
6 006 |
5 906 |
8 319 |
72.2 |
71.0 |
-1.685 |
Sucua |
7 231 |
7 033 |
10 996 |
65.8 |
64.0 |
-2.817 |
Huamboya |
2 976 |
2 949 |
3 922 |
75.9 |
75.2 |
-0.916 |
San Juan Bosco |
2 336 |
2 316 |
3 249 |
71.9 |
71.3 |
-0.859 |
Taisha |
5 664 |
5 673 |
6 666 |
85.0 |
85.1 |
0.146 |
Logroño |
3 150 |
3 114 |
3 646 |
86.4 |
85.4 |
-1.143 |
Tena |
22 397 |
22 365 |
33 337 |
67.2 |
67.1 |
-0.144 |
Archidona |
11 194 |
11 027 |
13 650 |
82.0 |
80.8 |
-1.509 |
El Chaco |
3 077 |
2 992 |
4 445 |
69.2 |
67.3 |
-2.863 |
Quijos |
2 329 |
2 251 |
3 847 |
60.5 |
58.5 |
-3.464 |
Carlos Julio Arosemena Tola |
1 437 |
1 428 |
2 037 |
70.5 |
70.1 |
-0.598 |
Pastaza |
12 989 |
13 336 |
29 780 |
43.6 |
44.8 |
2.603 |
Mera |
3 427 |
3 310 |
5 947 |
57.6 |
55.7 |
-3.557 |
Santa Clara |
1 631 |
1 620 |
2 233 |
73.0 |
72.5 |
-0.712 |
Arajuno |
3 180 |
3 183 |
3 594 |
88.5 |
88.6 |
0.085 |
Quito |
104 404 |
148 638 |
1 371 461 |
7.6 |
10.8 |
29.760 |
Cayambe |
24 991 |
24 546 |
46 938 |
53.2 |
52.3 |
-1.810 |
Mejia |
22 188 |
21 238 |
46 687 |
47.5 |
45.5 |
-4.474 |
Pedro Moncayo |
7 377 |
7 047 |
15 718 |
46.9 |
44.8 |
-4.686 |
Rumiñahui |
10 016 |
10 715 |
46 215 |
21.7 |
23.2 |
6.529 |
Sto Domingo De Los Colorados |
70 145 |
69 634 |
190 825 |
36.8 |
36.5 |
-0.734 |
San Miguel De Los Bancos |
10 449 |
10 442 |
16 928 |
61.7 |
61.7 |
-0.062 |
Pedro Vicente Maldonado |
4 669 |
4 511 |
7 681 |
60.8 |
58.7 |
-3.494 |
Puerto Quito |
10 086 |
9 351 |
13 775 |
73.2 |
67.9 |
-7.860 |
Ambato |
78 805 |
80 133 |
227 790 |
34.6 |
35.2 |
1.657 |
Baños |
6 978 |
7 027 |
15 416 |
45.3 |
45.6 |
0.693 |
Cevallos |
3 452 |
3 317 |
5 964 |
57.9 |
55.6 |
-4.074 |
Mocha |
4 329 |
4 212 |
6 368 |
68.0 |
66.2 |
-2.776 |
Patate |
5 932 |
5 756 |
10 292 |
57.6 |
55.9 |
-3.072 |
Quero |
11 086 |
10 812 |
15 997 |
69.3 |
67.6 |
-2.531 |
Pelileo |
21 374 |
20 768 |
37 619 |
56.8 |
55.2 |
-2.918 |
Pillaro |
19 129 |
18 835 |
33 369 |
57.3 |
56.4 |
-1.562 |
Tisaleo |
6 599 |
6 452 |
9 165 |
72.0 |
70.4 |
-2.270 |
Zamora |
12 552 |
12 547 |
21 743 |
57.7 |
57.7 |
-0.040 |
Chinchipe |
5 243 |
5 218 |
6 989 |
75.0 |
74.7 |
-0.483 |
Nangaritza |
3 137 |
3 111 |
4 316 |
72.7 |
72.1 |
-0.827 |
Yacuambi |
2 751 |
2 766 |
3 448 |
79.8 |
80.2 |
0.542 |
Yantzaza |
7 775 |
7 669 |
11 856 |
65.6 |
64.7 |
-1.385 |
El Pangui |
4 295 |
4 274 |
6 054 |
70.9 |
70.6 |
-0.509 |
Centinela Del Condor |
4 504 |
4 450 |
6 331 |
71.1 |
70.3 |
-1.199 |
Palanda |
4 513 |
4 483 |
5 430 |
83.1 |
82.6 |
-0.669 |
Lago Agrio |
28 186 |
28 314 |
38 753 |
72.7 |
73.1 |
0.451 |
Gonzalo Pizarro |
3 290 |
3 206 |
4 472 |
73.6 |
71.7 |
-2.615 |
Putumayo |
4 145 |
4 122 |
4 794 |
86.5 |
86.0 |
-0.548 |
Shushufindi |
14 736 |
14 462 |
18 977 |
77.7 |
76.2 |
-1.899 |
Sucumbios |
2 090 |
2 049 |
2 441 |
85.6 |
84.0 |
-2.004 |
Cascales |
3 719 |
3 644 |
5 014 |
74.2 |
72.7 |
-2.067 |
Cuyabeno |
2 121 |
2 098 |
2 501 |
84.8 |
83.9 |
-1.061 |
Orellana |
12 626 |
12 836 |
19 174 |
65.8 |
66.9 |
1.639 |
Aguarico |
2 733 |
2 738 |
3 150 |
86.8 |
86.9 |
0.196 |
La Joya De Los Sachas |
12 571 |
12 458 |
16 193 |
77.6 |
76.9 |
-0.911 |
Loreto |
6 915 |
6 897 |
7 811 |
88.5 |
88.3 |
-0.251 |
Total |
4 372 957 |
4 619 221 |
9 573 184 |
45.6 |
48.2 |
5.394 |
Figure A.1. Comparison between probit method and spatial probit at county level, total sample