FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - November 1997:

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MALAWI


Area: 94 000 sq.km
Climate: Tropical wet-dry climate with one rainy season (November-May)
Population 11.57 million (1997 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 170 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked country; importer and exporter of grain
Logistics: Imports/exports through Beira (Mozambique) or Dar es Salaam (Tanzania)
Major foodcrops: Maize, pulses, roots, tubers, rice
Marketing year: April/March; Lean season: February-March
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 70 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Revised official estimates of the 1997 maize harvest point to an output of 1.5 million tons compared to about 2 million tons initially forecast. As a result, the food supply situation during the 1997/98 marketing year is expected to be tighter than anticipated. The country will need to import up to 300 000 tons of maize, part of which could be obtained from neighbouring countries such as Mozambique. Given concerns about a possible El Niño-induced drought in the upcoming crop season, the government has initiated contingency plans and is encouraging the planting of drought-resistant crops and improved water conservation.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1997/98 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production (rice in paddy terms)

2

35

1 330

1 367

Normal Imports

40

3

40

83

of which: Structural food aid

-

-

40

40

1997/98 Domestic Availability

3

40

1 600

1 643

1997 Production (rice in paddy terms)

3

60

1 600

1 663

1997 Production (rice in milled terms)

3

40

1 600

1 643

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

-

-

1997/98 Utilization

48

40

1 900

1 988

Food Use

48

39

1 725

1 812

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

-

1

175

176

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

-

-

1997/98 Import Requirement

45

-

300

345

Anticipated commercial imports

45

-

150

195

Food aid needs

-

-

150

150

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

40

-

12

52

of which: Delivered

-

-

3

3

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

4

3

146

153

Indexes





1997 production as % of normal:




122

1997/98 import requirement as % of normal:




416

1997/98 food aid requirement as % of normal:




375


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