| Area: | 1 220 000 sq.km |
| Climate: | From north to south: arid, semi-arid and tropical wet-dry; one rainy season: May-October |
| Population: | 9.25 million (1996 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 250 (1995) |
| Specific characteristics of the country: | Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked sahelian country |
| Logistics: | Roads inadequate during rainy season; river transport important; rail link to Dakar (Senegal) |
| Major foodcrops: | Millet, sorghum, rice, maize |
| Marketing year: | November/October; Lean season: July-September |
| Share of cereals in total calorie intake: | 75 percent |
CURRENT SITUATION
Overall crop prospects are mostly favourable. Following generally widespread and regular rains since the beginning of the rainy season, except in late July and early August in the west and the centre, growing conditions have been generally favourable. In September, precipitation was often above normal during the first and the third dekad. Soil moisture reserves are adequate. Coarse grains are being harvested. Rice is developing satisfactorily in the "Office du Niger" and an above average or even record crop is anticipated reflecting larger planted areas following high levels reached by the Niger river. Pastures are abundant and water points are well replenished.
Grain-eating birds attacks have been reported in the rice-producing areas. Grasshopper infestations are also reported on millet and sorghum in the Sahelian zone. Solitarious immature and mature Desert Locusts were present during the second half of October throughout the Adrar des Iforas and western Tamesna. Most were concentrated in the few wadis that remained green. An isolated hopper was seen at Tidjaladine indicating that breeding had occurred in the area. Although numbers are expected to remain low, adults may become concentrated in the few areas that remain green.
A joint FAO/CILSS Crop Assessment Mission visited Mali from 25 October to 3 November. Composed of experts or consultants from FAO/GIEWS and the DIAPER Programme of CILSS, this Mission worked closely with the national services involved in the monitoring of rainy season (meteorology, hydrology, plant protection, agricultural statistics) as well as the USAID/FEWS. The Mission estimated, on the basis of the national production survey, aggregate output of cereals at 2 384 000 tons, which is 7 percent above the previous years harvest and 9 percent above average of the last five years. Production increased for all types of cereals but more markedly for maize.
|
Wheat |
Rice |
Coarse grains |
Total |
|
|
Normal Production |
3 |
439 |
1 808 |
2 250 |
|
Normal Imports |
- |
30 |
- |
30 |
|
of which: Structural food aid |
15 |
2 |
- |
17 |
|
1996/97 Domestic Availability |
8 |
430 |
1 718 |
2 156 |
|
1996 Production (rice in paddy terms) |
3 |
632 |
1 588 |
2 223 |
|
1996 Production (rice in milled terms) |
3 |
430 |
1 588 |
2 021 |
|
Possible stock drawdown |
5 |
- |
130 |
135 |
|
1996/97 Utilization |
58 |
450 |
1 748 |
2 256 |
|
Food Use |
57 |
314 |
1 484 |
1 855 |
|
of which: local purchase requirement |
- |
- |
(15) |
(15) |
|
Non-food use |
1 |
76 |
244 |
321 |
|
Exports or Re-exports |
- |
- |
20 |
20 |
|
Possible stock build up |
- |
60 |
- |
60 |
|
1996/97 Import Requirement |
50 |
20 |
30 |
100 |
|
Anticipated commercial imports |
35 |
20 |
10 |
65 |
|
Food aid needs |
15 |
- |
20 |
35 |
|
Current Aid Position | ||||
|
Food aid pledges |
2 |
- |
10 |
12 |
|
of which: Delivered |
2 |
- |
10 |
12 |
|
Donor-financed purchases |
- |
- |
7 |
7 |
|
of which: for local use |
- |
- |
6 |
6 |
|
for export |
- |
- |
1 |
1 |
|
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) |
7 |
34 |
160 |
201 |
|
Indexes | ||||
|
1996 production as % of normal: |
99 |
|||
|
1996/97 import requirement as % of normal: |
333 |
|||
|
1996/97 food aid requirement as % of normal: |
206 |