FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - November 1997:

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RWANDA


Area: 25 000 sq.km
Climate: Highland rainy climate with moderate temperature (200C); two rainy seasons

(February-May and September-November)
Population: 8.056 million (1997 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 180 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked country
Logistics: Ports: Mombasa (Kenya) and Dar es Salaam (Tanzania); roads and railway inadequate
Major foodcrops: Roots, tubers, pulses, plantains, sorghum, maize
Marketing year: January/December; Lean season: November-December
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 25 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

The outlook for the 1998 A season crops, to be harvested from December 1997, is uncertain. The rainy season, which normally starts in mid-September, was three weeks late, particularly in northern and eastern parts, where cumulative precipitation in the first dekad of October remained below normal. The delay in rains is likely to have resulted in reductions in the area planted and left crops vulnerable to an early cessation of the precipitation. In the Gisenyi and Ruhengeri prefectures, continued insecurity in disrupting agricultural activities.

The food supply situation is difficult. Prices of basic staples have increased sharply and serious food shortages are reported in some areas, particularly in the south. Although food production increased last season, the output remained below the pre-crisis average despite the need to feed an enlarged population following the massive return of refugees last December.

An FAO/WFP Mission to assess the 1998 A season foodcrops and to estimate the 1998 import requirements, including food aid, is scheduled to visit the country in late December/early January.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1997 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production (rice in paddy terms)

10

9

276

295

Normal Imports

10

6

3

19

of which: Structural food aid

3

1

3

7

1997 Domestic Availability

6

7

213

226

1997 Production (rice in paddy terms)

6

10

206

222

1997 Production (rice in milled terms)

6

7

206

219

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

7

7

1997 Utilization

31

24

232

287

Food Use

31

24

208

263

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

(11)

(11)

Non-food use

-

-

24

24

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

-

-

Possible stock build up

-

-

-

-

1997 Import Requirement

25

17

19

61

Anticipated commercial imports

12

12

6

30

Food aid needs

13

5

13

31

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

19

19

183

221

of which: Delivered

10

19

181

210

Donor-financed local purchases

-

-

11

11

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

4

3

26

33

Indexes





1997 production as % of normal:




75

1997 import requirement as % of normal:




321

1997 food aid requirement as % of normal:




443


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