FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - August 1997

GUINEA-BISSAU


Area: 28 000 sq.km
Climate: Tropical wet-dry; one rainy season: May-October
Population: 1.12 million (1996 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 250 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country
Logistics: Port capacity being improved; roads inadequate, particularly during the rainy season; river transport important
Major foodcrops: Rice, coarse grains, oils and fats, roots and tubers
Marketing year: November/October; Lean season: May-August
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 64 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Abundant rains favoured widespread plantings in June. The first significant rains reached the east of the country in May. They progressed westwards in late May, became abundant in early June and remained widespread and substantial in mid and late June. Planting of cereal crops is underway in the east and the north. Planting of rice in seedbeds has also started. Following strong rains in June, land preparation has started earlier than last year in swamp areas. Transplanting is about to start and will continue in August following desalination of swamp rice fields.

The overall food supply situation is satisfactory. Markets are generally well supplied and prices remain mostly stable. In May, the CFA Franc replaced the peso following entrance of Guinea-Bissau into the UMOA (Union Monétaire Ouest Africaine) and the Franc zone. This will facilitate commercial exchanges with neighbouring Senegal and Mali which have the same currency. Cereal imports for domestic use and re-exports in 1996/97 are estimated at about 70 000 tons, mostly rice. The structural food aid requirement is estimated at 6 000 tons.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1996/97 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

-

128

56

184

Normal Imports

8

60

-

68

of which: Structural food aid

1

5

-

6

1996/97 Domestic Availability

-

85

61

146

1996 Production (rice in paddy terms)

-

120

54

174

1996 Production (rice in milled terms)

-

80

54

134

Possible stock drawdown

-

5

7

12

1996/97 Utilization

10

145

61

216

Food Use

10

111

51

172

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

-

14

10

24

Exports or Re-exports

-

20 1/

-

20 1/

Possible stock build up

-

-

-

-

1996/97 Import Requirement

10

60 2/

-

70 2/

Anticipated commercial imports

9

55

-

64

Food aid needs

1

5

-

6

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

-

2

1

3

of which: Delivered

-

2

1

3

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

9

99

46

154

Indexes





1996 production as % of normal:




95

1996/97 import requirement as % of normal:




103

1996/97 food aid requirement as % of normal:




100


1/ Re-exports (10 000 tons) and cross border trade (10 000 tons) with neighbouring countries.
2/ Including 10 000 tons for re-export.

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