FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - August 1997

MALI


Area: 1 220 000 sq.km
Climate: From north to south: arid, semi-arid and tropical wet-dry; one rainy season: May-October
Population: 9.25 million (1996 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 250 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked sahelian country
Logistics: Roads inadequate during rainy season; river transport important; rail link to Dakar (Senegal)
Major foodcrops: Millet, sorghum, rice, maize
Marketing year: November/October; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 75 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Generally above normal rains are benefiting plantings and emergence of recently planted crops. The rainy season started in the south in April. Rains progressed northwards in May and reached the sahelian zone in June. Precipitation was particularly abundant in the west in early and mid-June and in the centre in mid and late June. Cumulative rainfall is generally above last year’s level and above average. Planting is well underway and coarse grains are emerging satisfactorily in the south. Land preparation and plantings are progressing in the sahelian zone.

Grasshoppers have been reported in several areas, notably in Niono, Simbi and Troungoumbé areas. Army worms are also present in rice seedbeds in Niono but no crop damage is reported. Low numbers of solitary Desert Locust adults may be present in some parts of the Adrar des Iforas and Timetrine in the north. Numbers may increase slightly if adults appear from the east. Breeding on a small scale is expected to commence with the onset of the seasonal rains in these areas.

The overall food supply situation is satisfactory. Prices of cereals remain below last year. Supply of cereals is adequate. The National Early Warning System (SAP), estimated that no food distribution is necessary for the moment but that several arrondissements in the north, notably in Kidal, Gao and Tombouctou regions, may face economic difficulties in 1997. Fodder supply is scarce in Kidal region and in Almoustarat arrondissement of Gao region. Terms of trade for pastoralists are generally less favourable than last year. Following the collapse of a dam on Lake Horo in Tombouctou region, more than 1 000 hectares usually cultivated to off-season crops were flooded, leaving about 30 000 persons without production, needing external assistance. The national early warning system recommended maintaining a sufficient stock in Kidal region and to reconstitute stocks in Tombouctou region in order to cover needs in the Lake Horo area. Local purchase of about 17 000 tons of cereals in Mopti and Ségou regions, brought the national security stock to its initial level of 35 000 tons. For the 1996/97 marketing year (November/October), the cereal import requirement is estimated at 100 000 tons and food aid requirement at 35 000 tons. Food assistance is also being given to Tuaregs who have returned from neighbouring countries. A new WFP programme of assistance begins in July. Under this operation, refugees will be assisted through food-for-work rehabilitation and resettlement activities together with local populations.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1996/97 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

3

439

1 808

2 250

Normal Imports

-

30

-

30

of which: Structural food aid

15

2

-

17

1996/97 Domestic Availability

8

430

1 718

2 156

1996 Production (rice in paddy terms)

3

632

1 588

2 223

1996 Production (rice in milled terms)

3

430

1 588

2 020

Possible stock drawdown

5

-

130

135

1996/97 Utilization

58

450

1 748

2 256

Food Use

57

314

1 484

1 855

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

15

15

Non-food use

1

76

244

321

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

20

20

Possible stock build up

-

60

-

60

1996/97 Import Requirement

50

20

30

100

Anticipated commercial imports

35

20

10

65

Food aid needs

15

-

20

35

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

2

-

14

16

of which: Delivered

2

-

14

16

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

7

7

of which: for local use

-

-

6

6

for export

-

-

1

1

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

7

34

160

201

Indexes





1996 production as % of normal:




99

1996/97 import requirement as % of normal:




333

1996/97 food aid requirement as % of normal:




206

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