FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - August 1997

MALAWI


Area: 94 000 sq.km
Climate: Tropical wet-dry climate with one rainy season (November-May)
Population 11.57 million (1997 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 170 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked country; importer and exporter of grain
Logistics: Imports/exports through Beira (Mozambique) or Dar es Salaam (Tanzania)
Major foodcrops: Maize, pulses, roots, tubers, rice
Marketing year: April/March; Lean season: February-March
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 70 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Excessive rains in February and a dry spell in March in central and northern parts of the country resulted in damage to maize, particularly in the northern districts of Karouga and Chitipa, where output is expected to be sharply reduced this year. The maize crop is estimated at about 2 million tons, which is slightly above last year’s above average crop. The output of rice, sorghum and wheat are also expected to be similar to last year.

The food supply situation is expected to remain satisfactory in 1997/98, given favourable production this year and substantial carryover stocks of maize from last year’s good harvest. However, areas affected by drought in the north and by floods in the south will need food assistance and should be carefully monitored during the next few months.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1997/98 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production (rice in paddy terms)

2

35

1 330

1 367

Normal Imports

40

3

40

83

of which: Structural food aid

-

-

40

40

1997/98 Domestic Availability

3

40

2 050

2 093

1997 Production (rice in paddy terms)

3

60

2 050

2 113

1997 Production (rice in milled terms)

3

40

2 050

2 093

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

-

-

1997/98 Utilization

48

40

2 050

2 138

Food Use

48

39

1 727

1 814

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

-

1

173

174

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

-

-

Possible stock build up

-

-

150

150

1997/98 Import Requirement

45

-

-

45

Anticipated commercial imports

45

-

-

45

Food aid needs

-

-

-

-

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

40

-

60

100

of which: Delivered

-

-

13

13

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

4

3

149

157

Indexes





1997 production as % of normal:




155

1997/98 import requirement as % of normal:




54

1997/98 food aid requirement as % of normal:




-

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