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MODELING FOREST PRODUCTS DEMAND, SUPPLY AND TRADE

Year of publication 1995

Author David Brooks, Anders Baudin and Peter Schwarzbauer

Product type Book (stand-alone)

Series title Geneva Timber and Forest Discussion Papers (ECE/FAO)

Edition 1

Synopsis (short abstract) Understanding and projecting the forces which will influence production and consumption of forest products is one of the most important parts of ETTS V, along with forecasting developments for the forest resource. ETTS V has relied on advanced econometric analysis to carry out this task for Western European market economies. This document presents the results of the modeling work carried out in the context of ETTS V to understand the relationship between consumption and production f forest produ cts and other parameters, notably GDP, activity in user sectors, prices and costs. ECE/TIM/DP/6 contains the projections for consumption and production of forest products for the period to 2020.

Language English

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    Understanding and projecting the forces which will influence production and consumption of forest products is one of the most important parts of ETTS V, along with forecasting developments for the forest resource. ETTS V has relied on advanced econometric analysis to carry out this task for Western European market economies. This document presents the projections for consumption, production and trade of forest products for the period to 2020, based on the modeling work reported in ECE/TIM/DP/5.
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    MODELLING AND PROJECTIONS OF FOREST PRODUCTS DEMAND, SUPPLY AND TRADE IN EUROPE 2003
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    This paper describes the econometric modelling approach developed by Brooks et al (1995) and applied in the current study for modelling forest products demand, supply and trade. The study provides a country specific outlook for a baseline scenario, based on estimated elasticities and long-term forecast of economic growth (NOBE, 2001). Alternative scenarios are forecasted as well, based on the outcome of a special policy analysis carried out by UNECE/FAO.
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    Pacific Rim demand and supply situation, trends and prospects: implications for forest products trade in the Asia-Pacific region
    Asia-Pacific Forestry Sector Outlook Study Working Paper : APFSOS/WP/02
    1997
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    This Working Paper looks at forest output and production in the Asia-Pacific region and analyses the state of markets and major trade flows. Major issues and constraints facing forestry are discussed and the outlook for the sector is presented. The "most likely" future scenario for forest product supply and demand is presented, drawing on the findings of other major international and regional institutions such as ITTO, the Asian Development Bank and the World Bank. Appendices provide the major t rade statistics for the region.
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