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PROJECTIONS OF FOREST PRODUCTS DEMAND, SUPPLY AND TRADE

Year of publication 1995

Author Anders Baudin and David Brooks

Product type Book (stand-alone)

Series title Geneva Timber and Forest Discussion Papers (ECE/FAO)

Edition 1

Synopsis (short abstract) Understanding and projecting the forces which will influence production and consumption of forest products is one of the most important parts of ETTS V, along with forecasting developments for the forest resource. ETTS V has relied on advanced econometric analysis to carry out this task for Western European market economies. This document presents the projections for consumption, production and trade of forest products for the period to 2020, based on the modeling work reported in ECE/TIM/DP/5.

Language English

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    MODELING FOREST PRODUCTS DEMAND, SUPPLY AND TRADE 1995
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    Understanding and projecting the forces which will influence production and consumption of forest products is one of the most important parts of ETTS V, along with forecasting developments for the forest resource. ETTS V has relied on advanced econometric analysis to carry out this task for Western European market economies. This document presents the results of the modeling work carried out in the context of ETTS V to understand the relationship between consumption and production f forest produ cts and other parameters, notably GDP, activity in user sectors, prices and costs. ECE/TIM/DP/6 contains the projections for consumption and production of forest products for the period to 2020.
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    Book (stand-alone)
    MODELLING AND PROJECTIONS OF FOREST PRODUCTS DEMAND, SUPPLY AND TRADE IN EUROPE 2003
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    This paper describes the econometric modelling approach developed by Brooks et al (1995) and applied in the current study for modelling forest products demand, supply and trade. The study provides a country specific outlook for a baseline scenario, based on estimated elasticities and long-term forecast of economic growth (NOBE, 2001). Alternative scenarios are forecasted as well, based on the outcome of a special policy analysis carried out by UNECE/FAO.
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    Book (stand-alone)
    Trends and Outlook for Forest Products Consumption, Production and Trade in the Asia-Pacific Region
    Asia-Pacific Forestry Sector Outlook Study Working Paper No: APFSOS/WP/12
    1997
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    A review of the historical developments of consumption, production and trade of forest products in the region followed by a forecast of future trends (1993-2010) through the use of a dynamic spatial equilibrium model. The forecasts indicate that the Asia-Pacific demand for forest products will continue to rise, as rapidly growing economies are concentrated in the region. The real prices of industrial roundwood and sawnwood are projected to increase slowly until the year 2010. The real prices of wood-based panels and of paper and paperboard are not predicted to change greatly.
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