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The impacts of COVID-19 and policy responses in rural economies - Findings from a local-economy general equilibrium modelling study

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FAO. 2022. The impacts of COVID-19 and policy responses in rural economies - Findings from a local-economy general equilibrium modelling study. Rome.




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    The impacts of COVID-19 and policy responses in rural economies
    Findings from a local-economy general equilibrium modelling study
    2023
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    The impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and government policies to limit its spread are multi-faceted and complex. Market linkages transmit these impacts through economies, from directly affected actors to others in both the urban and rural spheres. Economic contexts, including the structure of local economies, shape the transmission of impacts on rural men and women. Because of this, the pandemic, lockdowns, and mitigation policies influence outcomes in complex ways. In most cases, the magnitudes and even the signs of impacts cannot be determined ex ante. In this study, we use multiple local economy-wide impact evaluation (LEWIE) models to estimate the impacts of the pandemic and lockdowns on rural producers and households in a diversity of economic and agro-climatic settings, using simulation methods. We also examine the likely effects of alternative migitation measures.
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    Assessing the impact of COVID-19 on rural women and men in Uganda 2021
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    The first case of COVID-19 in Uganda was reported on March 22, 2020. The number of COVID-19 cases remained low during the first three quarters of 2020, before a first spike toward the end of the year. To understand the gendered impacts of the pandemic, phone surveys with rural women and men in Uganda were conducted. Data were collected from a sub-set of households drawn from a survey conducted in 2017 in 8 districts of the country: Iganga, Kasese, Kiboga, Luwero, Masaka, Masindi, Mbale, and Mubende. Four rounds of phone surveys were conducted in October 2020, February 2021, April 2021, and June 2021. The surveys focused on the economic impact, coping strategies, impact on food security and dietary diversity and the impact on children’s education and care burden. This brief presents the findings.
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    Assessing the impact of COVID-19 on rural women and men in Kenya 2021
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    The first wave of COVID-19 cases occurred between June and August 2020. A second wave occurred between October and December 2020 and by the end of December 2020, the number of COVID-19 cases was 92 459. The third rise in cases occurred between January and March of 2021 and partial lockdowns were reimposed in the most affected counties of the country, including mobility restrictions and curfews. This brief releases data on the gender impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on rural households/livelihoods and the agricultural sector in Kenya.

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