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FAO Food Chain Crisis Early Warning Bulletin No. 35 April-June 2020

Forecasting threats to the food chain affecting food security in countries and regions










​FAO. 2020. Forecasting threats to the food chain affecting food security in countries and regions. Food Chain Crisis Early Warning Bulletin. No. 35, April–June 2020. Rome.


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    FAO Food Chain Crisis Early Warning Bulletin 2017
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    During the period April-June 2017, Food Chain Crisis (FCC) threats are expected to occur in the regions of Africa, Americas, Asia, and Europe where they will be either persisting within a country, or possibly spreading to neighboring countries, or will be latent and re-emerge/amplify at a certain time. Thirty-six animal and plant pests and diseases, aquatic diseases, and forest pests and diseases were monitored during the first quarter of 2017. Thirty-one of these pests and diseases represent a threat to the food chain during the period April-June 2017 in one or more regions.
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    FAO Food Chain Crisis Early Warning Bulletin
    Forecasting threats to the food chain affecting food security in countries and regions. no 33, October-December 2019
    2019
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    During the period October–December 2019, Food Chain Crisis (FCC) threats are expected to occur in Africa, the Americas, Asia and Europe. In these regions, they may persist within a country, spread to neighbouring countries, remain latent, or re-emerge or amplify. Thirty plant and forest pests and diseases, locusts and animal and aquatic diseases were monitored and forecasted by FAO experts for the period October–December 2019. A total of 245 forecasts were conducted in 113 countries.
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    Journal, magazine, bulletin
    FAO Food Chain Crisis Early Warning Bulletin
    Forecasting threats to the food chain affecting food security in countries and regions. no 32, July-September 2019
    2019
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    During the period July to September 2019, Food Chain Crisis (FCC) threats are expected to occur in Africa, the Americas, Asia and Europe where they can persist within a country, spread to neighbouring countries, remain latent, or re-emerge or amplify. The dynamics and likelihood of occurrence of FCC threats depend on a number of risk factors or drivers. These include agro-ecological factors (e.g. intensive farming systems, deforestation, overgrazing, etc.), climate change (e.g. droughts, extreme weather events, flooding, heavy rains, heat waves, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation -ENSO, changes in vegetation cover, water temperature, etc.), human behaviour (e.g. cultural practices, conflicts and civil insecurity, trade, etc.) and natural disasters. In relation to food security, and according to the last “Crop prospects and food situation” report (July to September 2019), FAO estimates that, globally, 41 countries (31 in Africa, nine in Asia, and one in Americas) are in need of external assistance for food. Persisting conflicts continue to be the dominant factor driving high levels of severe food insecurity. Weather shocks have also adversely affected food availability and access. FCC threats can compound food insecurity in fragile countries stricken by weather shocks and conflicts. Main Food Chain Threats: Thirty three plant and forest pests and diseases, locusts and animal and aquatic diseases were monitored and forecasted by FAO experts for the period July to September 2019. A total of 284 forecasts were conducted in 122 countries.

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