Apparent historical consumption and future demand for fish and fishery products. Exploratory calculations (English) Westlund, L. ; International Conference on the Sustainable Contribution of Fisheries to Food Security, Kyoto (Japan), 4-9 Dec 1995 / FAO, Rome (Italy). Fisheries Dept.; Government of Japan, Tokyo (Japan) , (1995) , 55 p.
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Book (series)Historical consumption and future demand for fish and fishery products: exploratory calculations for the years 2015/2030. 1999
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No results found.Dr Ye’s study provides an estimate of global demand for fish as food in the years 2015 and 2030. Global demand is obtained by adding estimates made for 17 groups of countries. After a review of consumption during the last 35 years, Dr Ye projects demand using observed statistical relationships between per caput consumption (live weight equivalent) and per caput GDP, a choice dictated by the paucity of historical data on price. For regions where a relationship (established through regre ssion analysis) between observed per caput consumption and per caput GDP does not have statistical significance, or leads to clearly unrealistic results, a time trend regression was used. The author presents his results grouping the 17-country groups into six continents. He ends by discussing the significance of his findings, stressing that they represent potential demand; actual demand will be determined by the supply response to prices. -
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Book (series)Future prospects for fish and fishery products. 4. Fish consumption in the European Union in 2015 and 2030. Part 1. European Overview 2006
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No results found.This report presents the major results for fish consumption (consumption per capita and apparent consumption), production (captures and aquaculture and commodities) and fish trade (exports and imports) estimations and projections for 28 countries in Europe from 1989 to 2030. The projections show an increase in the demand for seafood products to 2030. The average per capita consumption by the 28 countries will move form 22 kg/caput/year in 1998 to 24 kg/caput/year in 2030. The two additiona l kilograms per capita signify that the net supply will have to increase by 1.6 million tonnes (MT) (respectively 1.1 Mt for the 2 extra kg per person and 550 000 tonnes due to the 22 million population growth over the period). Aquaculture growth will not be able to meet the increasing demand; therefore, imports are projected to rise to 11 Mt (+15 percent from 1998), increasing the dependency of Europe on the rest of the world for its fish and fish products.
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