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The FAO Global Fibre Supply Study - Assumptions, Methods, Models and Definitions

GLOBAL FIBRE SUPPLY STUDY - Working Paper Series









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    Book (stand-alone)
    Global Fibre Supply Model 1998
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    The Global Fibre Supply Model (GFSM) was initiated in late 1995. Along with a simple forecasting model, the study includes a compilation of the most recent forest inventory statistics as well as recovered and non-wood fibre data. In general terms, the study contributes to forest policy develpment by highlighting and underscoring the pressing need for reliable data, information and analysis on industrial fibre sources and their utilization, which will in turn support efforts to achieve sustainabl e forest management.
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    Book (stand-alone)
    The Status, Trends and Prospects for Non-Wood and Recycled Fibre Sources in China
    Asia-Pacific Forestry Sector Outlook Study: Working Paper No: APFSOS/WP/35
    1998
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    The role of alternative fibre sources for the production of panels and paper in China is the subject of this working paper. In the light of an increasing supply demand gap for industrial roundwood, wheat-straw, rice-straw, reeds, bamboo, fibre plants and bagasse will become increasingly important as raw materials. The current resource base for the nonwood fibre sources and contraints to its exploitation is described along with likely future supply.
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    Recovered and Non-wood Fibre: Effects of Alternative Fibres on Global Fibre Supply
    GLOBAL FIBRE SUPPLY STUDY - Working Paper Series
    1997
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    The paper examines the impact that alternative fibres, specifically recovered (recycled) and non-wood fibres, have had and may have on the global fibre supply. The properties and availability of each type of fibre are discussed. Based on historical data, three scenarios of future fibre supply were created: a projection of historical trends, an optimal model of high use of both types of fibre, and a minimal model of conservative use. A range of future availability of non-wood and recovered fibre could then be constructed. It was found that, in total, non-wood and recovered fibres currently comprise approximately 51 percent of the current levels of paper and paperboard production. The three scenarios predicted that this fraction would range from 50 to 90 percent of the world’s paper production level by 2010. The projection of historical trends shows a slow increase in alternative fibre content, culminating in a level of about 55 percent of total global paper production by 2010.

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