Climate-change vulnerability in rural Zambia: the impact of an El Niño-induced shock on income and productivity

dc.contributor.author Alfani, F., Arslan, A., McCarthy, N., Cavatassi, R., Sitko, N.
dc.coverage.spatial Zambia
dc.date.issued 2019
dc.date.lastModified 2021-08-02T08:18:45.0000000Z
dc.description.abstract This paper examines the impacts of the El Niño during the 2015/2016 season on maize productivity and income in rural Zambia. The analysis aims at identifying whether and how sustainable land management (SLM) practices and livelihood diversification strategies have contributed to moderate the impacts of such a weather shock. The analysis was conducted using a specifically designed survey called the El Niño Impact Assessment Survey (ENIAS), which is combined with the 2015 wave of the Rural Agricultural Livelihoods Surveys (RALS), as well as high resolution rainfall data from the Africa Rainfall Climatology version 2 (ARC2). This unique, integrated data set provides an opportunity to understand the impacts of shocks like El Niño that are expected to get more frequent and severe in Zambia, as well as understand the agricultural practices and livelihood strategies that can buffer household production and welfare from the impacts of such shocks to drive policy recommendations. Results show that households affected by the drought experienced a decrease in maize yield by around 20 percent, as well as a reduction in income up to 37 percent, all else equal. Practices that moderated the impact of the drought included livestock diversification, income diversification, and the adoption of agro-forestry. Interestingly, the use of minimum soil disturbance was not effective in moderating the yield and income effects of the drought. Policies to support livestock sector development, agroforestry adoption, and off -farm diversification should be prioritized as effective drought resiliency strategies in Zambia.
dc.format.numberofpages 41 p.
dc.identifier.eissn 2521-1838
dc.identifier.isbn 978-92-5-131295-7
dc.identifier.issn 2664-5785
dc.identifier.url http://www.fao.org/3/ca3255en/ca3255en.pdf
dc.language.iso English
dc.publisher FAO ;
dc.relation.ispartofseries FAO Agricultural Development Economics Working Paper
dc.relation.number No. 19-02
dc.rights.copyright FAO
dc.title Climate-change vulnerability in rural Zambia: the impact of an El Niño-induced shock on income and productivity
dc.type Book (series)
fao.contentcategory Technical
fao.edition 1
fao.identifier.googlebookurl https://books.google.it/books?id=WGq1DwAAQBAJ&dq=Climate-change+vulnerability+in+rural+Zambia:+the+impact+of+an+El+Ni%C3%B1o-induced+shock+on+income+and+productivity&source=gbs_navlinks_s
fao.identifier.jobnumber CA3255EN
fao.identifier.uri http://www.fao.org/documents/card/en/c/ca3255en
fao.placeofpublication Rome, Italy ;
fao.sdgs 02. End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition and promote sustainable agriculture"
fao.sdgs 13. Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts
fao.subject.agrovoc climate change
fao.subject.agrovoc weather hazards
fao.subject.agrovoc impact assessment
fao.subject.agrovoc maize
fao.subject.agrovoc agricultural productivity
fao.subject.agrovoc household income
fao.subject.agrovoc sustainable livelihoods
fao.subject.agrovoc food security
fao.subject.agrovoc agricultural policies
fao.subject.agrovoc surveys
fao.subject.agrovoc Zambia
fao.visibilitytype PUBLIC KNOWLEDGE
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