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Food Price Monitoring and Analysis (FPMA) Bulletin #9, 11 November 2022

Monthly Report on Food Price Trends











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    Global wheat and maize prices continued to increase in October 2024, influenced by unfavourable weather concerns in some main producing areas, transport disruptions and strong demand. By contrast, international rice prices declined, amid expectations of increased competition among exporters. FAO’s analysis of the latest available domestic food price data showed prices were below year-earlier levels, in September and October 2024, in parts of Central America and Far East Asia, owing to increased seasonal availability from harvests. Staple food prices remained high year-on-year in parts of East Africa, Southern Africa and South America due to tight domestic supplies, macroeconomic challenges and sustained demand. In West Africa, coarse grain prices hit new record highs in several markets as recent widespread flooding impeded the functioning of markets, further exacerbating existing food access challenges.
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    International prices of all major cereals increased month on month in October. Wheat prices led the increase, with prices of rice, barley and maize being also firmer. In East Africa, prices of coarse grains followed mixed trends in October and were generally higher than one year earlier, with exceptionally high levels still prevailing in the Sudan and South Sudan. Prices were well above their year-earlier levels also in Uganda and Somalia, due to reduced availabilities, and in Ethiopia, mainly due to macro-economic difficulties and conflict‑related trade disruptions in some areas. In West Africa, prices of coarse grains decreased seasonally in October for the second consecutive month. However, prices were still significantly above their year-earlier values across the subregion, particularly in central Sahel and Lake Chad Basin, where increased conflicts continued to disrupt agricultural livelihoods, trade and markets.
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    International prices of grains increased sharply again in October, driven by reduced production prospects, tighter inventories and strong import demand. By contrast, international prices of rice fell further with the start of the main crop harvests and lacklustre demand. In East Africa, prices of coarse grains followed mixed trends in October, tracking seasonal patterns. In most countries, prices were around or below their year-earlier levels, except in the Sudan and South Sudan, where they reached new record highs in several markets.  The impact of insufficient supplies and macro‑economic challenges were compounded by a further recent depreciation of the currency in South Sudan and by flood‑related trade disruptions in the Sudan. In West Africa, with the beginning of the 2020 harvest, the upward surge of prices of coarse grains in Nigeria halted, but prices remained well above their historical levels as a result of the difficult macro-economic environment and the disruptive impact of COVID-19-related restrictive measures to the supply chains.

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