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Book (stand-alone)Technical book粮食展望―2004年12月第4期 2004粮农组织估计2004 年世界谷物产量为创记录的20.42 亿吨，较9 月 的预测大幅增加，比2003 年增产8.4％。预测2004/05 年度谷物产量高于利用量，可能使库存量出现五年以 来的首次增加。预测2004/05 年度世界谷物利用量比上一季节增加2.4％。预测到2004/05 年度季末世界谷物库存量将增加至4.41 亿吨。增加 量的大部分为主要出口国的玉米和小麦储备。相反，预计稻米库存量将 再次减少。国际小麦和粗粮价格普遍低于一年前，但稻米价格仍大大高于2003 年的水平。预测2004/05 年度全球谷物贸易量将下降，主要是由于欧盟需求减 少抵消了发展中国家，特别是中国，的预计进口增幅还有余。2004 年年底全球肉类价格略有趋稳，原因是对原疫区的进口解禁和 因此造成的出口供应量的增加。2005 年肉类生产量和贸易量应将继续增 长。 2004 年全年国际奶制品价格趋升，到11 月，粮农组织奶制品价格 指数达1990 年以来的最高水平。价格上涨的压力主要是国际需求增长的 结果，特别是发展中国家对全脂奶粉的需求。在上一销售季节油籽价格达创纪录的水平，但自4 月以来大幅下 跌，主要是由于 美国取得丰收。国际市场食糖价格普遍坚挺，原因是世界食糖消费量相对于产量持 续大幅增加。
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Book (stand-alone)Technical book粮食展望―2004年6月第2期 2004Á¸Å©亊éÖ¯?#247;Ô2004ÄêÈ«Çò¹ÈÎï²úÁ¿µÄ亊îÐÂÔ¤²âΪ19.56ÒÚ?#247;Ö£¬亇ÈÉÏÄêÓнÏ丩ó·ù?#247;ȵÄÔö¼Ó¡£ È»?#247;ø£¬¾¡¹ÜÔ¤¼ÆÀûÓÃÁ¿Ôö·ù²»丩󣬵«ÐµÄ2004/05ÏúÊÛ¼¾½Ú¿ÉÄܳöÏÖÈ«Çò¹ÈÎï¿â丩æÁ¿Á¬ÐøµÚÎåÄêÏ»¬µÄ¾ÖÃæ¡£ Á¸Å©亊éÖ¯?#247;Ô2004/05Äê?#247;ÈÈ«Çò¹ÈÎïóÒ亊Á¿µÄÊ亊丩ÎÔ¤²âΪ2.297ÒÚ?#247;Ö£¬亇ÈÉÏÄêϽµ3£\¡£ ÕâÒ»Çé¿öÖ?#8364;ÒªÊÇÓÉÓÚ丩«Í³½ø¿Ú¹úÊÕ³ÉÇ?#8249;¾?#8249;¿丩ºÃ£¬ÒÔ¼?#8249;Å·ÖÞ²úÁ¿µÄ丩ó·ù»ØÉý¡£ÔÚµ¾Ã亊·½Ã棬Ԥ¼ÆóÒ亊Á¿½«Êܵ½Ö?#8364;Òª³ö¿Ú¹ú¹©Ó¦Á¿Ç?#8364;½ôµÄÖÆÔ¼¡£ ...
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Book (stand-alone)Technical book粮食展望―2004年9月第3期 2004自上次报告以来粮农组织对2004年世界谷物产量的最新预测已提高了2,900万吨，达19.85亿吨， 与2004/05年度预计利用量处于同等水平。在过去四年锐减之后这将防止全球谷物库存量再次出现大幅下降。 2004/05年度世界谷物的利用量预测为19.85亿吨， 比2003/04年度的估算利用量高出1.4%。饲料和工业用粗粮将很可能增长最快。 粮农组织已将对2005年季末世界谷物库存量的预测大幅提高， 上调至仅略低于其季初的水平，这是在过去四年每年都发生严重锐减之后。 沙漠蝗虫正在对今年撒赫勒地区的农业生产构成威胁。 整个撒赫勒地区都报告有分布广泛的蝗群的繁殖和形成。一些国家已报告给作物带来了重大损害。正在开展防治行动但需要予以加强以防止形势恶化。 2004/05年度全球谷物贸易量将剧减至2.276亿吨， 主要是由于几个传统进口国取得丰收，造成对于小麦和粗粮的进口需求减少。 近几个月来国际谷物价格疲软， 主要是由于供应前景看好和需求普遍趋弱。 国际市场上食糖价格居高不下， 原因是相对于产量来说，世界食糖消费量持续强劲 增长而世界范围内库存量预期下降。
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Book (series)Technical studyThe impact of climate variability and extremes on agriculture and food security - An analysis of the evidence and case studies
Background paper for The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2018
2020Also available in:
No results found.Global climate studies show that not only temperatures are increasing and precipitation levels are becoming more varied, all projections indicate these trends will continue. It is therefore imperative that we understand changes in climate over agricultural areas and their impacts on agriculture production and food security. This study presents new analysis on the impact of changing climate on agriculture and food security, by examining the evidence on recent climate variability and extremes over agricultural areas and the impact of these on agriculture and food security. It shows that more countries are exposed to increasing climate variability and extremes and the frequency (the number of years exposed in a five-year period) and intensity (the number of types of climate extremes in a five-year period) of exposure over agricultural areas have increased. The findings of this study are compelling and bring urgency to the fact that climate variability and extremes are proliferating and intensifying and are contributing to a rise in global hunger. The world’s 2.5 billion small-scale farmers, herders, fishers, and forest-dependent people, who derive their food and income from renewable natural resources, are most at risk and affected. Actions to strengthen the resilience of livelihoods and food systems to climate variability and extremes urgently need to be scaled up and accelerated. -
Book (series)FlagshipThe State of Food and Agriculture 2019
Moving forward on food loss and waste reduction
2019The need to reduce food loss and waste is firmly embedded in the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Food loss and waste reduction is considered important for improving food security and nutrition, promoting environmental sustainability and lowering production costs. However, efforts to reduce food loss and waste will only be effective if informed by a solid understanding of the problem. This report provides new estimates of the percentage of the world’s food lost from production up to the retail level. The report also finds a vast diversity in existing estimates of losses, even for the same commodities and for the same stages in the supply chain. Clearly identifying and understanding critical loss points in specific supply chains – where considerable potential exists for reducing food losses – is crucial to deciding on appropriate measures. The report provides some guiding principles for interventions based on the objectives being pursued through food loss and waste reductions, be they in improved economic efficiency, food security and nutrition, or environmental sustainability. -
Book (series)FlagshipThe State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2023
Urbanization, agrifood systems transformation and healthy diets across the rural–urban continuum
2023This report provides an update on global progress towards the targets of ending hunger (SDG Target 2.1) and all forms of malnutrition (SDG Target 2.2) and estimates on the number of people who are unable to afford a healthy diet. Since its 2017 edition, this report has repeatedly highlighted that the intensification and interaction of conflict, climate extremes and economic slowdowns and downturns, combined with highly unaffordable nutritious foods and growing inequality, are pushing us off track to meet the SDG 2 targets. However, other important megatrends must also be factored into the analysis to fully understand the challenges and opportunities for meeting the SDG 2 targets. One such megatrend, and the focus of this year’s report, is urbanization. New evidence shows that food purchases in some countries are no longer high only among urban households but also among rural households. Consumption of highly processed foods is also increasing in peri-urban and rural areas of some countries. These changes are affecting people’s food security and nutrition in ways that differ depending on where they live across the rural–urban continuum. This timely and relevant theme is aligned with the United Nations General Assembly-endorsed New Urban Agenda, and the report provides recommendations on the policies, investments and actions needed to address the challenges of agrifood systems transformation under urbanization and to enable opportunities for ensuring access to affordable healthy diets for everyone.