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Application of artificial intelligence in anticipatory action: Drought and flood case study in the Lao People’s Democratic Republic

Technical study









Isaev, E., Inthipunya, K., Soukkaseum, P., Jones, C., Riquet, D., Jang, I., Keomanivong, V., Sysouphanthavong, B., Mahachaleun, M., Phouthanouxay, S., Phetthany, V., Thammalangsy, A., Silatthana, S., Sithivongk, V., Phonsena, M. & Huengbundith, I. 2024. Application of artificial intelligence in anticipatory action: Drought and flood case study in the Lao People’s Democratic Republic  Technical study. Vientiane, FAO. 



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    This research describes the process of developing an agricultural drought-triggering methodology for anticipatory action (AA) within the context of Timor-Leste, an Indo-Pacific nation grappling with limited observation data. Drought is a severe and recurring natural hazard in Timor-Leste, significantly impacting livelihoods and exacerbating food insecurity due to the compounding effects of the climate crisis. This study provides a comprehensive understanding of the methodology’s development, highlighting the collaborative establishment of an AA protocol with the government and the humanitarian community, spearheaded by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations and the Government of Timor-Leste. Overall, this study aims to facilitate a transition towards a preemptive approach for disaster risk management and highlight the advances of the introduction of Artificial Intelligence (AI) moving forward.
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    This project supports communities in wetland areas of the Lao People’s Democratic Republic in efforts to reduce pressure on wetlands area, improve management and stewardship and diversify livelihoods. The project outcomes were consistent with national policies and plans, and it was successful in a range of wetland conservation efforts. Evidence-based planning and mainstreaming of climate change adaptation, disaster risk management and wetland conservation has been conducted in regular planning exercises, training of government staff and participating communities. RAMSAR site steering committees have been established. A major threat continues to be encroachment of wetlands for rice cultivation and use of chemical fertilizer and pesticides in rice fields.
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    Book (stand-alone)
    FAO/WFP CROP AND FOOD SUPPLY ASSESSMENT MISSION TO LAO PEOPLE’S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC - 4 March 1999 1999
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    Following reports of an unfavourable food outlook and at the request of the Government, an FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission visited Lao PDR from 19th January to 8th February 1999 to review the outcome of the main 1998 paddy crop, forecast the 1999 irrigated crop, and estimate import requirements including food aid for the 1998/99 marketing year. Consultations were held with the relevant Government ministries, and donor, NGO and UN representations in Vientianne. The focus of the fi eldwork was on selected drought-affected areas, Khammoune, Saravan and Savannakhet Provinces, where the team met with Provincial and District officials, NGOs, farmers, village heads, and merchants, and observed the conditions of the off-season paddy crop, which was being transplanted. The 1998/99 rice production is forecast at about 1.77 million tonnes, 22 percent above the average for the previous five years and moderately higher than last year’s, despite localised dry spells and a sharp reduction in plantings of the upland rice crop. The increase in production is mainly attributed to unusually low levels of flood damage, and a major expansion in the area under (irrigated) off-season paddy.

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