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Food Price Monitoring and Analysis (FPMA) Bulletin #7, 12 September 2024

Monthly report on food price trends











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    Seasonal supplies continued to weigh on the world prices of wheat and maize in August 2023, as their harvesting operations were concluded in the Northern and Southern Hemisphere, respectively. By contrast, international rice prices rose to their highest level in 15 years, in nominal terms, largely reflecting trade disruptions registered in the aftermath of India’s July ban on Indica white rice exports. In most countries monitored by FAO, domestic prices of basic food commodities persisted at year-on-year higher levels in July and August 2023 due to the impact of conflict and insecurity, adverse weather, high prices of agricultural inputs, elevated distribution costs and currency weaknesses. On a monthly basis, domestic rice prices increased seasonally in most countries in East Asia, while supplies from 2023 harvests supported a decline in maize prices in Southern Africa and South America. In Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia countries and in East Asia, ample carryover stocks and supplies from recent harvests underpinned month-on-month declines in wheat and wheat flour prices.
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    Global wheat and maize prices continued to increase in October 2024, influenced by unfavourable weather concerns in some main producing areas, transport disruptions and strong demand. By contrast, international rice prices declined, amid expectations of increased competition among exporters. FAO’s analysis of the latest available domestic food price data showed prices were below year-earlier levels, in September and October 2024, in parts of Central America and Far East Asia, owing to increased seasonal availability from harvests. Staple food prices remained high year-on-year in parts of East Africa, Southern Africa and South America due to tight domestic supplies, macroeconomic challenges and sustained demand. In West Africa, coarse grain prices hit new record highs in several markets as recent widespread flooding impeded the functioning of markets, further exacerbating existing food access challenges.
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    International prices of all major cereals eased in June 2024. The decline in global wheat export prices mostly reflected downward pressure from seasonal supplies in the Northern Hemisphere while the fall in maize export prices was underpinned by seasonal increases in the supplies from Southern Hemisphere countries, along with favourable production prospects in the United States of America. International rice prices posted a modest decline in June, largely reflecting generally quiet trading activities. In several countries monitored by FAO, domestic staple food prices persisted at high levels in May and June 2024. Ongoing conflicts and high levels of insecurity disrupted trading activities and supported high prices of cereals in Haiti, Myanmar, South Sudan, the Sudan and some Sahelian countries. In Southern Africa, prices of maize, the main food staple, also remained at elevated levels in countries where widespread and intense drought resulted in well below-average harvests in 2024. Weak national currencies and high transport costs sustained inflationary pressure on domestic food markets and food import costs in several countries.

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