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FPMA 简报 #2 CH, 2019年3月12日

食品价格趋势月度报告











See full version of FPMA Bulletin #2, 12 March 2019 (in English only)



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    FPMA 简报 #1 CH, 2019年2月12日
    食品价格趋势月度报告
    2019
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    1月份国际小麦价格保持坚挺,原因是出口供应趋紧而世界需求旺盛。同时,对南美洲不利天气条件对作物影响的担忧也为玉米出口价格提供了支撑。国际稻米价格也出现上涨,主要原因是亚洲对粳米的需求增加。 在东部非洲的苏丹和南苏丹,本国货币疲软对主粮价格施加了上行压力,价格水平大大高于一年前。生产和运输成本高昂也对价格上涨发挥了推动作用。 在南部非洲,2018年减产加剧了若干国家玉米价格的季节性上涨趋势。而在津巴布韦,本国货币贬值和外汇短缺成为去年底粮食价格大涨的主要推手。
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    GIEWS FPMA 简报 #6 CH, 2019年7月10日
    食品价格趋势月度报告
    2019
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    6月份,天气因素把美国玉米出口价格推高至五年高点。国际小麦价格也上涨,而稻米国际价格则保持总体稳定。 在东部非洲,由于收获不断推进且季节晚期普降好雨改善了收成前景,这扭转了过去几个月玉米价格上行的态势。但价格仍大大高于一年前水平。 在南部非洲,随着2019年作物收获工作的开局,5月份玉米价格普遍面临下行压力。相反,在津巴布韦,由于本币持续贬值且2019年谷物作物收成前景大减,推动制粉业上调了价格,从而造成玉米和面粉的零售价格大幅上涨。 在南美洲,6月份主要生产国和出口国阿根廷和巴西黄玉米国内价格上涨,原因是国际需求异常旺盛;尽管正值作物收获且有望获得丰收。
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    GIEWS FPMA 简报 #8 CH, 2019年11月12日
    食品价格趋势月度报告
    2019
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    10月份国际小麦价格在经历了此前几个月回落之后出现上涨,原因是出口需求旺盛且南半球主产国产量前景走低。玉米价格也上涨,这是由于受到美国供应量减少及阿根廷和乌克兰销量增加的支撑。相反,需求低迷和收获压力造成国际稻米价格下滑。 在南部非洲,若干国家供应紧张和货币疲软继续对主粮玉米的价格形成支持,该次区域玉米价格仍处于高位。 在东部非洲,该次区域若干国家10月份粗粮价格大大高于一年前水平,主要原因是减产。在苏丹和南苏丹,粗粮价格保持稳定或略有回落,但仍处于高位,原因是宏观经济形势艰难。 在亚洲独联体区域,10月份塔吉克斯坦和吉尔吉斯斯坦的面粉价格在保持几个月相对稳定之后出现了异常上涨,主要原因是受到区域出口市场价格上涨的推动。

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