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ArticleLong and short run effects of climate change on forest rents in Zambia: A time series analysis
XV World Forestry Congress, 2-6 May 2022
2022Also available in:
No results found.Extant literature often focuses on the impact of deforestation on climate change; often with conclusions that deforestation must be discouraged. However, forests are a key contributor to socio-economic wellbeing of the people at household level as well as to economic growth of nations through the natural resources extracted from them. Forests are a great reservoir of biodiversity. In most developing countries, forests are also the most reliable drug stores, they supply medicinal remedies. Instead of preventing people from utilizing these resources, a good approach is to embrace sustainable forest resource utilization. Hence, understanding how climate change affects forest rents would be useful in formulating policy that builds a resilient ecosystem. This study uses climate change and forest rents data from 1970 to 2019 to model long and short run relationship between climate change and forest rents in Zambia. Rainfall, temperature and agricultural land were used as climate change variables. This data was obtained from the World Bank climate change portal and World Development Index. A long run positive relationship was found between agricultural land and forest rents. The speed of adjustment was 56.85%. Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions were significant predictors in the short run. Rainfall was generally not a significant predictor of forest rents. The findings further indicate that increased rainfall granger causes increase in agricultural land clearance. Also a bi-directional causal relationship between CO2 and agricultural land was found. These findings offer interesting tips that could be considered when formulating energy, natural resource and climate change policies. Keywords: Forest rents, Climate change, Time series, Cointegration, Zambia ID 3624205 -
ArticleVulnerability assessment of Ukrainian forests to climate change as the base of nature-based solutions for mitigation and adaptation
XV World Forestry Congress, 2-6 May 2022
2022Also available in:
No results found.A wide range of climatic conditions in Ukraine causes significant regional differences in the vulnerability of forests to climate change. The mitigation/adaptation strategy should be based on assessments of their vulnerability at the regional level. Phytoindication model by prof. Y.P. Didukh (1994) was used to assess forest vulnerability. The model gives a quantitative estimation of climate as one of major environmental factors affecting the distribution, condition and productivity of vegetation on the base of climate-related indicators – continentality, humidity and frost. For these indicators climate suitability scales were calculated. Modeling was carried out for main forest species: Pinus sylvestris L., Quercus robur L., Fagus sylvatica L., Picea abies (L.) H.Karst, Betula pendula Roth., Alnus glutinosa (L.) Gaertn. and Robinia pseudoacacia L. Climate projections based on the Euro CORDEX time series (up to 2100) and 2 scenarios of the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP 4.5, RCP 8.5) were used. By means of Q-GIS the maps containing zones of suitability to climate for each of studied species were created for current climate conditions and future time series. The directions for strengthening the mitigation and adaptive capacity of forests are considered. The mainstream for nature-based solutions is adaptive sustainable forest management, which provides: 1)optimization of land use structure and increasing the forested area; 2) development and implementation of a national forestry program considering the priorities of climate change and low-carbon development; 3) using wood to substitute greenhouse gas intensive-materials and fossil fuels; 4) best forestry practices through the introduction of modern Climate Smart Forestry principles. Keywords: RCP 4.5, RCP 8.5, Euro CORDEX, climate trends, adaptive forest management ID: 3487120 -
ArticleThe SFI conservation impact project: supporting forest-based solutions for climate- change mitigation and biodiversity conservation
XV World Forestry Congress, 2-6 May 2022
2022Also available in:
No results found.SFI has provided certification standards for sustainable forest practices and forest fiber procurement since 1995, and has experienced tremendous growth, such that SFI’s Forest Management Standard is the most widely applied single forest management standard in the world, with over 365 million certified acres (147 million hectares). Seeing the need for better understanding of the conservation related outcomes from decades of sustainable management, SFI initiated the Conservation Impact Project in 2016 to enumerate outcomes across the critical themes of climate change, biodiversity, and water. Findings of these collaborative research projects reveal the critical role of these certified forests toward landscape-scale biodiversity, wide ranging bird species in decline, and carbon capture and storage. These findings make clear that SFI Certified forests contribute significantly and uniquely to forest conservation outcomes in the United States and Canada and suggest the potential importance of sustainably managed certified forests in meeting global conservation objectives. Keywords: sustainable forest management, climate, carbon, conservation ID: 3478897
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