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Book (series)Global aquaculture outlook in the next decades: an analysis of national aquaculture production forecasts to 2030 2004
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Aquaculture production is expected to play a crucial role in forthcoming decades in compensating for stagnant capture fisheries and in meeting increased demand for aquatic products. Designed to ascertain the compatibility of national aquaculture production forecasts with the global prevision of the sector's growth to 2020 and beyond, the report attempts to answer three questions: 1) Do individual countries have the ambition to expand their aquaculture sector to meet global demand forecasts, an d are their projections realistic, 2) Is the “sum” of national production forecasts compatible with global projections of anticipated requirements from the aquaculture sector? 3) What planning lessons can be learnt from examining individual country plans, and how could the process of aquaculture planning be improved? Three global forecasts (Delgado, et al., 2003; Wijkstrom, 2003; Ye, 1999) were used as a benchmark against which countries’ ambitions were assessed through an analysis of t he contents of their national aquaculture development plans. Results showed that the countries studied do wish to expand their aquaculture output and, with some exceptions, their assumptions were realistic as most governments appeared to endorse the sector’s growth. Aggregation quantitative production targets from the national plans indicated that global forecasts may have underestimated the future supply of fish food coming from aquaculture. The future expansion of Chinese aquaculture remain s critical but using a modest 2 per cent annual growth rate and without increases in food fish output from capture fisheries, results suggested that most of the demand projections for fish would be met in three forthcoming decades. Thus, aggregated country productions from aquaculture are expected to grow at an average annual growth rate of 4.5 per cent over the period 2010-2030. In terms of planning, appraisal of plans and strategies revealed a generally weak planning process as methodologies a nd procedures tended to be sketchily reported. A planning framework with issues to address is suggested with the back-up of a consensus-building technique such as the Delphi method to improve the quality of future plans and enable an evaluation of their likelihood of success, as transparency, legitimacy and agreement are key to the success of a plan. -
Brochure, flyer, fact-sheetUN Decade of Action on Nutrition 2016–2025: priority actions on nutrition for the next five years
FSN Forum report of activity No. 173
2022This document summarizes the online consultation “UN Decade of Action on Nutrition 2016–2025: priority actions on nutrition for the next five years” held on the FAO Global Forum on Food Security and Nutrition (FSN Forum) from 20 May to 21 June 2021. The consultation was organized in the context of the midterm review process of the UN Decade of Action on Nutrition (“Nutrition Decade”), focusing on the plan forward for the Nutrition Decade for the period 2021–2025 as presented in a foresight paper prepared by the joint FAO/WHO Secretariat of the Nutrition Decade. The consultation was facilitated by Stineke Oenema from UN Nutrition. -
DocumentPart 1, Chapter 2. Agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa: Prospects and challenges for the next decade 2016
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This chapter reviews the prospects and challenges facing the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa over the next decade. It reviews sector performance, outlines the current market context, provides detailed quantitative medium term projections for the ten-year period 2016-25, and assesses key risks and uncertainties. The outlook for agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa is situated in the context of several mega-trends that shape the sector’s development. These include rapid population growth, u rbanisation and rural diversification, an associated structural transformation from farm to non-farm employment, a growing middle class, and increasing interest (both domestically and globally) in the continent’s farmland. The Outlook for agriculture is broadly positive, but could be further enhanced by consistent policies and strategic investments, in particular in rural infrastructure.Read the Summary of the report.
Access the Outlook chapter-by-chapter:
- Forward
- Acronyms and abbreviations
- Executive summary
- Chapter 1: Overview of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025
- Chapter 2: Agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa: Prospects an d challenges for the next decade
- Chapter 3: Commodity snapshots
- Cereals
- Oilseeds and Oilseed Products
- Sugar
- Meat
- Dairy and Dairy Products
- Fish and Seafood
- Biofuels
- Cotton
- Statistical Annex
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