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GIEWS Update - The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, 5 September 2018

High temperatures and below-average rainfall could affect the 2018 main season food output












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    Prolonged dry weather from April to late June in central and southern main cereal producing provinces raises serious concerns for the ongoing 2017 main cropping season. If rains do not improve in coming few weeks the 2017 cereal output may decrease significantly, deteriorating the already dire food insecurity. Immediate interventions are needed to safeguard the 2017 main season cereals.
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    The production of the 2020 main season crops benefitted from expanded planting, which mostly offset yield losses due to floods and storms. Production prospects for the 2020/21 minor early season winter/spring crops, for harvest in June, are generally favourable. The 2020/21 aggregate food crop production is forecast at a near-average level of 5.6 million tonnes. Cereal import requirements in the 2020/21 marketing year (November/October) are estimated at about 1.1 million tonnes, close to the five-year average. With commercial imports officially planned at 205 000 tonnes, the uncovered food gap is estimated at about 860 000 tonnes, equivalent to approximately 2.3 months of food use.
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    Reduced supplies and soaring prices of most agricultural inputs raise concerns about production of the 2022 main “wet” season crops, including paddy, the country’s main food staple. Prices of livestock inputs surged since April 2022, resulting in distress sales of animals by farmers. Prices of most food items increased since the beginning of 2022 and reached record or near‑record highs in July 2022. Acute food insecurity deteriorated since early 2022, with most households gradually adopting food‑related coping strategies, including reducing meal sizes and limiting diversification.

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