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Agricultural trade linkages between Latin America and China. Conclusions and Future Priorities

FAO Investment Centre. Workshop Highlights No. 2. Summary report of an Expert Group Meeting jointly organized by the World Bank and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) FAO Rome, 27-28 September 2011









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    The paper explores the impact of an agricultural trade agreement, simulating alternative liberalization scenarios, and studying the outcomes of the interaction between the strategies of country groups in the negotiations. The analysis is based on the model of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP), and on the related version 5.4 database. Scenarios are run on a 2013 baseline, built by taking into account a number of events that have affected (and will further affect) world agricultural markets up to that period, focusing on the effects that are specifically attributable to further trade liberalization in the Doha Round. The policy strategies analyzed are two liberalization scenarios based on the proposals made in the present round of agricultural negotiations in terms of market access and export competition, plus a free agricultural trade benchmark scenario. Simulations are employed to study the interactions between the possible strategies of two wide country groups – developed and d eveloping countries on the basis of game theory, and to search for mutually advantageous agreements to be compared with actual agreement hypotheses. Results indicate that welfare gains could be reaped both by developed and developing countries and the possibility of inter-country compensations would allow, at least in principle, an agreement to be reached.
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    Agricultural reforms and trade liberalization in China and selected Asian countries: lessons of three decades 2009
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    How did the Asia-Pacific region rescue over 700 million people from extreme poverty between 1980 and 2005? What policy lessons can we learn and implement to improve conditions for the nearly 1 billion people in the region who continue to live in poverty? Examining Asia's recent agricultural reform and trade liberalization experiences, in the context of current global crises, presents an occasion to reflect on past achievements and consider future opportunities. This publication synthesizes the proceedings and presents technical papers from a policy forum convened by FAO and China's Ministry of Agriculture. The first part summarizes key points from presentations, panel discussions and deliberations which sought to capture the essence of three decades of Asia's agricultural policy experience. The second part incorporates eight technical papers which addressed the forum's main themes: Chinese agricultural policy reforms and performance over the past 30 years; Asia's changing agricultu ral policy landscape; agricultural trade liberalization; and the implications of the global food and financial crises for food and agriculture.

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