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Anticipating El Niño: A mitigation, preparedness and response plan









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    Brochure, flyer, fact-sheet
    El Niño: Anticipatory Action and Response Plan, October 2023–March 2024
    Mitigating the expected impacts of El Niño-induced climate extremes on agriculture and food security
    2023
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    The latest forecasts point to a greater than 80 percent chance of El Niño continuing through March–May 2024, following declaration of the onset of El Niño conditions in early July 2023 by the World Meteorological Organization. The strength is expected to be comparable to the top six strongest events in recorded history, increasing the likelihood of extreme weather and climate hazards, ranging from drought to floods and storms. By disrupting rainfall and temperature patterns, El Niño may strongly impact agriculture, rural livelihoods and food security. Such early warnings clearly call for early action. FAO’s El Niño Anticipatory Action and Response Plan requires urgent funding to deliver immediate support in a number of identified countries around the world, based on analysis of historical trends, latest seasonal forecasts, agricultural seasonality and the vulnerability of populations at risk.
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    Brochure, flyer, fact-sheet
    El Niño: Anticipatory Action and Response Plan, August–December 2023
    Mitigating the expected impacts of El Niño-induced climate extremes on agriculture and food security
    2023
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    There is a greater than 90 percent chance that El Niño will continue through the end of 2023, and international climate agencies forecast a moderate to strong El Niño continuing into 2024. This will increase the likelihood of extreme weather and climate hazards, ranging from drought to floods and storms. By disrupting rainfall and temperature patterns, El Niño may strongly impact agriculture, rural livelihoods and food security. Such early warnings clearly call for early action. FAO’s El Niño Anticipatory Action and Response Plan requires urgent funding to deliver immediate support in a number of identified countries around the world, based on analysis of historical trends, latest seasonal forecasts, agricultural seasonality and the vulnerability of populations at risk.
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    Booklet
    Anticipating La Niña
    A mitigation, preparedness and response plan 2024
    2024
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    The Plan seeks to complement the Somalia Humanitarian Needs and Response Plan (HNRP) 2024, with a set of targeted, evidence-based, preventive and scale-up readiness actions across three pillars of work:1. Early warning: Somalia’s robust early warning systems have been activated and additional resources are required to ensure that information is consistently made available and widely disseminated to key stakeholders, including at-risk communities. This includes ongoing monitoring of drought conditions to inform early action and scale-up readiness.2. Early action and scale-up readiness: early warning alerts must be linked to timely action, this requires flexible resources to be made available ahead of shocks. Partners will equip communities with skills, knowledge and inputs to activate their own advance planning measures, safeguarding their livelihood assets and helping them to mitigate the worst impact of the drought. Partners will also promote scale-up readiness to ensure actors are in a position to respond at scale and in time in the event of a worsening scenario.3. Government-led coordination and monitoring: as the mandated agency for disaster management, the Somalia Disaster Management Agency (SoDMA) will provide overall coordination and leadership in collaboration with key line ministries (Agriculture, Livestock, Water), working closely with all actors including local communities and authorities in at-risk areas.

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