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Food Price Monitoring and Analysis (FPMA) Bulletin #2, 14 March 2025

Monthly report on food price trends














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    After edging down for the past three months, international prices of wheat firmed marginally in February, mostly reflecting strong demand and concerns over dry weather conditions in some major exporters. World maize prices were nearly unchanged in February, with mixed price trends among the major exporters. International rice prices eased in February, amid exchange rate movements and a slowdown in trading activities in most major Asian exporters. Latest analysis by FAO shows that domestic staple food prices generally remained at elevated levels in February 2023. Seasonal factors and price transmission from the recent weakening of international grain prices supported month‑on‑month declines in some staple food prices in parts of East Asia, South America, Southern Africa and West Africa. Nonetheless, in many countries, conflict, adverse weather events and macroeconomic challenges, particularly currency weakness, continue to drive up local prices.
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    International prices of all major cereals declined in February 2024. Ample supplies and strong competition among exporters underpinned a decline in wheat and maize prices. International rice prices also dropped as, aside from Indonesian purchases, fresh import demand remained broadly low and new crop harvests began in some exporting countries.In most countries monitored by FAO, domestic staple food prices remained high in February 2024. Extreme weather events, conflicts and insecurity have remained key underlying drivers of high prices. Weak national currencies are limiting pass‑through effects to domestic markets from the declines in international cereal prices. Shipping disruptions in the Panama Canal and the Red Sea could create additional inflationary pressures on domestic food markets in the short term through higher food import costs.
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    International prices of maize, wheat and rice dropped in March 2025. Rising trade tensions weighed on market sentiment for maize and wheat. Declines in world prices of grains were further driven by the arrival of the seasonal Southern Hemisphere supplies, weaker global import demand and diminished concerns over crop production concerns in some major exporters. International rice prices also declined, reflecting weak import demand and ample exportable supplies. FAO’s analysis of the latest available domestic staple food price data indicates that prolonged conflicts and macroeconomic challenges have sustained grain prices at elevated year-on-year levels in parts of East Africa and West Africa. In Southern Africa, white maize prices continued to increase in line with the trend that prevailed throughout most of 2024 and the first quarter of 2025. Meanwhile, in the Near East and North Africa region, prices of staple foods such as wheat flour, bread and rice have shown significant volatility over the past year, primarily due to conflicts and climate‑related events. In Central America, white maize prices in March 2025 were lower compared to last year. In South America, wheat and yellow maize prices were generally higher year-on‑year, driven by local strong demand and currency depreciation in some net‑importing countries. In the Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia region, domestic wheat flour prices remained largely stable and close to year-earlier levels across most net‑wheat importing countries. In Far East Asia and South America, rice prices were generally lower year-on-year, supported by adequate import volumes and increased local supplies from ongoing harvests.

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