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FPMA 简报 #6 ZH, 2018年7月12日

食品价格趋势月度报告











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    FPMA 简报 #5 CH, 2018年6月11日
    食品价格趋势月度报告
    2018
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    5月份小麦和玉米国际价格进一步上涨,这主要是由于受到天气引发对主产国产量前景的关切的支撑。稻米国际价格保持坚挺,东南亚买家大幅采购带来的上行压力在很大程度上被主要出口国货币走弱的因素所抵消。 在东部非洲,5月份苏丹主粮价格(小米、高粱和小麦)在经过过去两个月的徘徊之后大幅上涨并达创纪录高点。近期价格上涨的原因是对2018年收成的表现存在担忧,其他因素还包括货币疲软和取消了小麦补贴。 在南美洲,主要生产国和出口国(阿根廷和巴西)的黄玉米和小麦价格继续上涨,价格大大高于去年5月份水平,这对该次区域进口国的价格施加了上行压力。玉米价格主要是受到这两个国家货币贬值和今年预计减产的支撑,而小麦价格则是受到季节性压力及主要来自货币走弱带来的压力的支撑。 在中美洲,5月份尼加拉瓜白玉米价格继续大幅攀升,季节性上行压力因燃料成本提高和当前社会动乱而更为加剧。总体上看,该次区域玉米价格明显高于去年5月。
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    FPMA 简报 #1 CH, 2019年2月12日
    食品价格趋势月度报告
    2019
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    1月份国际小麦价格保持坚挺,原因是出口供应趋紧而世界需求旺盛。同时,对南美洲不利天气条件对作物影响的担忧也为玉米出口价格提供了支撑。国际稻米价格也出现上涨,主要原因是亚洲对粳米的需求增加。 在东部非洲的苏丹和南苏丹,本国货币疲软对主粮价格施加了上行压力,价格水平大大高于一年前。生产和运输成本高昂也对价格上涨发挥了推动作用。 在南部非洲,2018年减产加剧了若干国家玉米价格的季节性上涨趋势。而在津巴布韦,本国货币贬值和外汇短缺成为去年底粮食价格大涨的主要推手。
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    FPMA 简报 #10 CH, 2018年12月10日
    食品价格趋势月度报告
    2018
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    11月份小麦和玉米国际价格仍然面临下行压力,主要原因是供应量巨大且邻近需求。在稻米方面,新收作物上市继续对出口价格施加压力。 在东部非洲,苏丹货币进一步大幅贬值引发粮食价格显著上涨,尽管收获工作正在推进,但价格仍达到或接近创纪录高点。 在南部非洲,津巴布韦货币贬值,加之外汇短缺,抑制了进口并对谷物价格形成支撑。在该次区域其他地方,2018年减产造成若干国家玉米价格上涨至一年前水平之上。

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