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Colombia: Impact of Early Warning Early Action

Boosting food security and social cohesion on the frontline of the migration crisis










​FAO. 2019. Colombia, Impact of Early Warning Early Action. Rome.


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    The intensity and frequency of natural hazards and conflicts are increasing, and they are leaving in their wake an unprecedented level of humanitarian needs. Natural hazards alone occur nearly five times as often today as 40 years ago. The number of people displaced by conflict, meanwhile, is the highest ever recorded, and millions more are driven to migrate out of necessity. That is why FAO has been a long-time advocate of anticipatory interventions and works closely with governments and partners in the humanitarian and scientific community to anticipate crises before they reach a crest. By building country-specific Early Warning Early Action (EWEA) systems, FAO and its partners are able to monitor key indicators that predict shocks and to trigger anticipatory action once they exceed pre-defined thresholds that raise the alarm. This study analyses the outcome of acting early on the island of Mindanao in the Philippines between 2018 and 2019, ahead of an El Niño‑induced drought. It evaluates the effectiveness of anticipatory actions and highlights families’ perspectives on the benefits of acting early.
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    The quarterly Global Early Warning – Early Action Report on Food Security and Agriculture monitors situations at risk for potential disasters and adverse impacts on food security and agriculture. Risks are categorized according to their potential consequence as either “high risk” or “on watch” so that preventive action can be taken. The Report provides consolidated, easy to read, country-by-country mapping and analysis of crisis situations such as conflict, drought, flood, plants and animals pests and diseases. In the April to June, 2017 issue, areas of high risk are South Sudan, due to ongoing famine and conflict; and Yemen and Northeast Nigeria where there is risk of famine linked to conflict; and Somalia, where risk of famine is due to continuing drought. Current on watch situations are caused by a potential El Niño. In the Sub-Saharan Region there is a Fall Army Worm outbreak; In Syria, Iraq, and the Democratic Republic of Congo food security is at risk due to conflict; while Kenya, Ethiopia, Sri Lanka, and Uganda are at risk because of drought, and as well, displacement is an added factor for Uganda; Madagascar has dry conditions and cyclone.
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    Climate-driven hazards are increasing in intensity and frequency, with weather-related crises now occurring nearly five times as often as 40 years ago. At the same time, needs are expanding and resources are limited. New tools and ways of thinking and acting are essential to reduce the impact of these disasters as effectively as possible. The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) is developing innovative early warning systems to anticipate risks and intervene at the right time. The right time is often early – before a crisis becomes a humanitarian disaster. FAO’s approach is shifting from a reactive mind-set to one focused on mitigation and prevention. When the state of Kassala in eastern Sudan experienced a dry spell in 2017 and 2018, FAO took steps early to protect the livelihoods of vulnerable agropastoralists. This study analyses the outcomes of FAO's Early Warning Early Action (EWEA) approach in the Sudan. They complement and reinforce earlier findings in Ethiopia, Kenya and Somalia which demonstrated that early actions have a significant return on investment and are an effective way to address drought in Africa’s agropastoralist regions.

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