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Livestock growth, public health and the environment in Kenya – A quantitative assessment











​FAO & Palladium Group. 2019. Livestock growth, public health and the environment in Kenya – A quantitative assessment. Rome.



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    Africa is experiencing a series of simultaneous changes including substantial and unprecedented urban, socio-economic, policy and technological transitions. These rapid transitions will have major implications for African agriculture, which will be challenged to supply affordably-priced, nutritious and safe food to an increasingly affluent and urbanized population. Evidence from other regions suggests the sector will undergo two major structural transformations in the coming decades. The first is that, while the quantity and value of agricultural production will increase, the contribution of the sector to GDP and employment will reduce. The second transformation is that livestock will become one of the most important sectors of agriculture in value terms. The reason is that, as economic development progresses, increasingly well-off consumers will move away from a predominantly cereal-based diet and start purchasing the high-value proteins that meat, milk and other livestock products offer, as well as fruits and vegetables. This report presents long-term scenarios for 2050 for the livestock sector in Uganda as developed by national stakeholders and their impact on public health as assessed by the One Health Policy Model developed by the USAID-funded Preparedness and Response project.
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    In Kenya, to satisfy the rapidly increasing demand for animal source food (ASFs) of growing urbann populations, livestock holdings and value chains in and around peri-urban and urban areas are transforming more rapidly than elsewhere in the country, risking to exacerbate the negative impacts of livestock keeping on the environment and public health. The extent to which livestock-associated pathogens pose risks to public health is determined by the broader context in which livestock stakeholders operate and behave, both collectively and individually. Understanding stakeholders' behaviour as they perform various functions along the various livestock value chains is therefore crucial to inform, revise, and update policies. In order to identify major public health hazards associated with the particularly rapidly expanding poultry value chain(s), FAO, in collaboration with the veterinary service directorates of urban and peri-urban counties of Kiambu and Nairobi, surveyed the poultry value chain actors to assess their business practices and extent to which they comply with recommended biosecurity and public health practices.
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    Africa is experiencing a series of simultaneous changes including substantial and unprecedented urban, socio-economic, policy and technological transitions. These rapid transitions will have major implications for African agriculture, which will be challenged to supply affordably-priced, nutritious and safe food to an increasingly affluent and urbanized population. Evidence from other regions suggests the sector will undergo two major structural transformations in the coming decades. The first is that, while the quantity and value of agricultural production will increase, the contribution of the sector to GDP and employment will reduce. The second transformation is that livestock will become one of the most important sectors of agriculture in value terms. The reason is that, as economic development progresses, increasingly well-off consumers will move away from a predominantly cereal-based diet and start purchasing the high-value proteins that meat, milk and other livestock products offer, as well as fruits and vegetables. This report presents long-term scenarios for 2050 for the livestock sector in Ethiopia as developed by national stakeholders and their impact on public health as assessed by the One Health Policy Model developed by the USAID-funded Preparedness and Response project.

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